The literature on finance and innovation treats the relationship as monotone: more capital directed at innovative firms should raise long-run productivity growth. This paper shows why that need not hold. A Schumpeterian growth model is developed in which financiers screen heterogeneous candidate innovations before funding them, subject to a genuine cost-speed tradeoff: stricter screening raises the average quality of funded projects but slows the rate at which capital reaches the innovation frontier. The balanced-growth rate is a strictly concave, single-peaked function of screening intensity — an Allocation Frontier — with a technologically determined peak and a decentralized equilibrium that always falls strictly short of it, by an amount governed by the cost of screening relative to the value of getting it right. A calibration combining OECD productivity data, the markup literature, and an illustrative target for screening intensity finds this shortfall costs the calibrated economy roughly four percent of its attainable growth rate. Comparative statics further show that “more innovation finance” is not one thing: cheaper screening and greater entrant heterogeneity both raise growth by moving the economy toward its own frontier peak, while a larger raw flow of candidates raises growth by moving it away from an unchanging one.
Martin Christy ABIAYA'A, Tati Gaelle TIMBA, Jean Hugues NLOM, Marcellin NDONG NTAH
Abstract The objective of this article is to analyze the effect of fiscal decentralization on early childhood education in Cameroon. Using a methodological framework based on econometric modeling by ordinary least squares (OLS), generalized least squares (GLS), and the generalized method of moments (GMM), it emerges that fiscal decentralization positively and significantly affects early childhood education in Cameroon. The results obtained by OLS and GLS reveal that Fiscal decentralization has a significant and positive effect on the number of desks per student. The Global Monitoring Mechanisms (GMM) demonstrate that fiscal decentralization leads to a significant and positive increase in both the number of classrooms per student and the number of desks per student. The investigations revealed that fiscal decentralization has a positive effect on early childhood education in Cameroon.These results suggest implementing financing mechanisms for local authorities to stimulate local development through the provision of sustainable socioeconomic infrastructure that can ensure equal and equitable access to education for children. Keywords: Cameroon, schooling, early childhood, fiscal decentralization
We present the first formal treatment of \emph{yield tokenization}, a mechanism that decomposes yield-bearing assets into principal and yield components to facilitate risk transfer and price discovery in decentralized finance (DeFi). We propose a model that characterizes yield token dynamics using stochastic differential equations. We derive a no-arbitrage pricing framework for yield tokens, enabling their use in hedging future yield volatility and managing interest rate risk in decentralized lending pools. Taking DeFi lending as our focus, we show how both borrowers and lenders can use yield tokens to achieve optimal hedging outcomes and mitigate exposure to adversarial interest rate manipulation. Furthermore, we design automated market makers (AMMs) that incorporate a menu of bonding curves to aggregate liquidity from participants with heterogeneous risk preferences. This leads to an efficient and incentive-compatible mechanism for trading yield tokens and yield futures. Building on these foundations, we propose a modular \textit{fixed-rate} lending protocol that synthesizes on-chain yield token markets and lending pools, enabling robust interest rate discovery and enhancing capital efficiency. Our work provides the theoretical underpinnings for risk management and fixed-income infrastructure in DeFi, offering practical mechanisms for stable and sustainable yield markets.
Spatial economics deals with the mutual socioeconomic influence of the geographical boundary of an administrative body on the neighboring entities- municipalities, districts, states, and countries. Researchers have conducted spatial analyses to solve a variety of economic problems like labor dynamics, wage equilibrium, capital formation, and demographic agglomeration/dispersion, among others. However, the application of spatial economics in public finance, despite being a pressing priority, has not been extensively explored. With India being the largest democracy in the world and having a decentralized state budget mechanism in place, focused attention is required to measure the contiguity effect in state finance. I find strong spatial dependence by implementing a fixed effect panel regression design followed by a spatial regression approach to assess fiscal health in Indian states over 22 years. The analysis reveals spatial dependence on both the income and expenditure sides of state budgetary fiscal and primary deficits. I also analyze the dynamics of the capital budget revenue and its idiosyncrasies in determining the spatial roles that govern state deficits. The empirical results underscore that fiscal policymaking through budget preparation for an Indian state must account for major fiscal components of bordering states to achieve targeted fiscal objectives.
The main goal of this paper was to investigate the effect of fiscal decentralization on foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing countries during the years 1990-2022.For this purpose, we have used the Panel Smooth Transition Regression method (PSTR).Decentralization is the financial equivalent of the central government transferring resources to local governments.Policies that increase the proportion of provincial government financing allocated to local infrastructure through fiscal decentralization can attract more foreign direct investment.Based on the results obtained from the model estimation, on percent increase the fiscal decentralization causes to increase in foreign direct investment equal to 0.86.So, we can say that providing the necessary fields for the expansion of fiscal decentralization can help to promote foreign direct investment levels in developing countries.
This paper considers the "DeFi intermediation chain"-the market structure that underlies the creation and distribution of ETH, the native cryptocurrency of Ethereum-to examine how information asymmetry shapes intermediation rents.We argue that using proof-of-stake blockchain technology in DeFi leads to a novel limit to arbitrage, arising from the tension between arbitrageurs' privacy needs and blockchain transparency.Using a new dataset which distinguishes private and public transactions in Ethereum, we find that a 1% increase in private information advantage leads to a 1.4% increase in intermediaries' profit share.We develop a dynamic bargaining model that predicts information market power stems exclusively from participants' private information advantage.Our analysis illustrates how blockchain technology can sustain arbitrage opportunities despite low entry barriers.
We construct a tractable general equilibrium model of DeFi lending to shed light on the role of pricing rules. We determine how the rule controls key equilibrium variables such as the utilization rate. Our model delivers a measure of welfare which incorporates the DeFi borrowing rate and the security of the underlying (Proof-of-Stake) blockchain, which we use to find welfare-maximizing pricing rules. Using a genuine function of the utilization rate becomes meaningful when there is parameter uncertainty. We establish conditions under which the first-best can be implemented by such a function, which we exhibit explicitly. When these conditions are not met, allowing the rule to also depend on the staking level restores efficiency. Our analysis leads to several other practical recommendations and conceptual clarifications.
<em>Female human capital is particularly a crucial pathway for the development of an economy as women consist of half of human resources. Despite the increasing trend of fiscal decentralization for the improvement of various socioeconomic indicators in Pakistan, there are very few attempts on its impact on human capital. This study increases the knowledge by empirically estimating the research hypothesis that how fiscal decentralization affects female human capital in Pakistan with 18th amendment in NFC as a backdrop taking the period from 1975 to 2020. The robust analysis shows that fiscal decentralization policy is helpful to frame female human capital in Pakistan. These results are particularly important for policy formulation for provinces to increase female human capital as well as for public finance sector in Pakistan.</em>
Overview The aim of the International Conferences "Economic Scientific Research-Theoretical, Empirical and Practical Approaches"- (ESPERA), initiated in 2013 by the "Costin C. Kirițescu" National Institute for Economic Research (NIER) within the Romanian Academy is to present and evaluate the economic scientific research portfolio, to argue and substantiate the Romanian development strategies - including European and global best practices, to provide an opportunity for researches, practitioners, and academics interested in economic scientific research, both theoretical, practical and empirical discuss and exchange insightful research ideas. The 7th edition of the International Conferences “Economic Scientific Research-Theoretical, Empirical and Practical Approaches”- (ESPERA), under the title ”30 Years of Inspiring Academic Economic Research – From the Transition to a Market Economy to the Interlinked Crises of 21st Century” was organized virtually during 26th -27th November 2020, In Bucharest, Romania. The event, dedicated to the 30th anniversary of NIER and its economic research network of its return under the auspices of the Romanian Academy, will include a scientific program of wide diversity initiatives, bringing together researchers from all NIER institutes and centers, members of the Romanian Academy, Romanian academic researchers and also guests from other countries. The
During the 1990s Morocco implemented a series of major institutional and economic reforms that made the country politically stable and helped it to withstand the destabilizing effects of the Arab Spring. Political reforms resulted in the adoption of a new constitution in 2011, was followed by initiatives to improve justice, public administration, the fight against corruption, and to strengthen governance, transparency, and ethics in public life. The country also embarked on a regionalization of public policies and decentralization of administration to ensure an integrated and durable regional development. This reform momentum was further emphasized by the King of Morocco when in his 2019 throne speech he stressed that &ldquo;&hellip; the stake is thus to rebuild a strong and competitive economy, by encouraging the private initiative, while launching new productive investment plans and by creating new job opportunities&hellip;&rdquo; During two last decades Morocco recorded relatively solid economic and social results due to significant public investments and structural reforms aiming to: (i) stabilize the macroeconomic framework by reducing domestic and external vulnerabilities, in particular through the gradual suppression of subsidies for energy products and some foodstuffs; (ii) improve the framework of management of public finance through the adoption of a new Organic Law of Finance in 2015; and (iii) support the diversification and the competitiveness of the national economy. Morocco also reinforced its sectorial policies through plans for sector development aiming at enhancing the economic growth potential and the creation of jobs, including in the manufacturing sectors with significant added value in sectors such as the automotive, aeronautics and pharmaceutical products. The Moroccan economy has demonstrated an appreciable resilience in the face of an international context characterized by a succession of crises. The rate of growth of real GDP improved on average annually from 3.1% during the 1990s to nearly 4.2% on average annually between 2007 and 2018, sustained by the tertiary sector&rsquo;s dynamism which posted an increase in its value added of 4.2%, contributing of 2.1 points in the GDP (Figure 1). The secondary sector also showed a similar tendency with a 3.3% increase in added value, carrying with it 0.9 percentage points contribution in economic growth, while the primary sector added value grew by 4.4% for a contribution to the growth of the GDP of 0.6 point (DEPF, 2019).
We build an endogenous growth model with consumer-generated data as a new key factor for knowledge accumulation. Consumers balance between providing data for profit and potential privacy infringement. Intermediate good producers use data to innovate and contribute to the final good production, which fuels economic growth. Data are dynamically nonrival with flexible ownership while their production is endogenous and policy-dependent. Although a decentralized economy can grow at the same rate (but are at different levels) as the social optimum on the Balanced Growth Path, the R&D sector underemploys labor and overuses data—an inefficiency mitigated by subsidizing innovators instead of direct data regulation. As a data economy emerges and matures, consumers’ data provision endogenously declines after a transitional acceleration, allaying long-run privacy concerns but portending initial growth traps that call for interventions. This paper was accepted by Kay Giesecke, finance.
Os mercados de criptomoedas vem chamando a atenção e atraindo todo tipo de investidores, desde pessoas até instituições financeiras, buscando altos retornos resultado de la significativa variação dos preços e a sua rápida valorização. No entanto, esse mercado é caracterizado pelo nível de volatilidade e incerteza, levando os preços a níveis muito altos e também a níveis baixos, estas características geram uma grande dificuldade para a toma de decisões dos gestores de investimentos. Este artigo propõe um sistema híbrido para a tomada de decisões no gerenciamento de investimentos no mercado de criptomoedas, considerando um perfil de investimento conservador, que busca reduzir o risco e maximizar o retorno do investimento. A metodologia visa, com base no preço histórico das criptomoedas, estabelecer níveis de retorno e estimar as probabilidades de transição dos retornos para cada nível, isso é feito com base na análise das cadeias de Markov, que são integradas nas múltiplas árvores de decisão para identificar a criptomoeda que projeta o maior retorno futuro, considerando que será vendida em um ou dois períodos após a aquisição. Os resultados são comparados com os dados reais e comprova-se a eficiência da metodologia.
This paper summarizes the arguments and counterarguments within the scientific discussion on the influence of fiscal decentralization measures on the management of innovative country development. The main purpose of the research is to test the hypothesis that expenditure and revenue decentralizations have a positive impact on the management of innovative country development. Testing the hypothesis considers realization of panel data regression analysis, and consists of several stages, such as: 1) elimination of control variables multicollinearity based on the correlation analysis; 2) identification of the regression model specification (fixed or random effects model) with the help of Hausman test; 3) realization of the regression analysis and characteristic of its results (confirmation or rejection of the hypothesis). It also should be noted that country sample consists of 12 unitary European countries (Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, France, Hungary, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, and Ukraine). Time horizon – 2008-2018. Global Innovation Index is a measure of innovative country development. At the same time, the ratio of local budget revenue to consolidated budget revenue, the rate of domestic budget expenditure to consolidated budget expenditure, the proportion of local budget tax revenue to gross local budget revenue are measures of fiscal decentralization in the research. There are also selected a set of control variables that often used in economic growth models and reflect macroeconomic perspectives of country development. However, the practical realization of the stages, as mentioned above, allow identifying that fixed effect specification of the model is more appropriate in all three cases (for three different measures of fiscal decentralization). Panel data regression analysis allows confirming the hypothesis on the positive impact of revenue fiscal decentralization and the negative impact of expenditure decentralization on innovative country development. In turn, there is no statistically significant cohesion between ratio of local budget tax revenue to gross local budget revenue and Global Innovation Index. These findings in terms of fiscal decentralization reform might be considered in order to ensure a balance between power (expenditures) redistribution from central to sub-central governments and local budget financial capacity. While in terms of innovative country development, it should be considered that the lack of local budget financial resources to cover all redistributed from central government level powers makes it impossible to invest in the development of innovation. However, the increase of local government financial capacity creates opportunities not just for essential functions financing but also advanced features investment such as innovative development. Keywords fiscal decentralization, innovation development, local budget expenditures, local budget revenue, local community.
Abstract Macroeconomic strategies and policies have differed significantly among Asian countries, and yet some common issues recur despite their immense diversity in inherited historical initial conditions, differences in political systems, geopolitical situations, location and size, and natural resource endowments. The chapter examines from a comparative perspective issues like unemployment, state versus market, domestic versus foreign market, degree of openness in trade, investment and finance, industrial and technology policy, decentralization, and economic and social inequality. While some countries have been more successful than others in dealing with these issues, our comparative perspective also shows development itself as a moving target, thus requiring flexible institutional and policy responses at each separate stage of development, which makes uniform guidelines misleadingly over-simplistic.
When economy grows, and resident’s needs are diversifying, finance starts to become decentralization of power as a result. The offer of the public service by the centralized government is suitable to unify the citizen’s preference of the wide area, but what the local government where inhabitants are the nearest carries is desirable for the offer of the community service in a small range(Oates’s decentralization theorem). On the other hand, it becomes to cause the difference of various public services in each area in fiscal decentralization. Therefore, it is important how we measure progress of the financial decentralization in each area and the financial decentralization of power difference between each area. The purpose of this report analyzes economic and fiscal decentralization disparities in China from the measurement of the tile index based on the data of “the Chinese statistics summary (2000 through 2007)” before and after the western great development, at the same time it analyzes whether the relation between economy and financial decentralization is correlative, in other words, Oates’s decentralization theorem is concluded in Chinese economy. As a result of analysis, following three points were confirmed. 1. Expenditure decentralization disparities and difference of the district production per capita have positive correlation. Therefore, Oates’s decentralization theorem may be concluded. 2. However, when I consider population movement, Fiscal empowerment disparities and difference of the district production per capita have negative correlation. As a result, when I consider the side political, Oates’s decentralization theorem may not be concluded. 3. In the major cities of the coastal place such as Beijing and Shanghai, as for the growth rate of expenditure decentralization and the original expenditure decentralization, these coefficients of correlation were negative. Oates’s decentralization theorem is not concluded in these cities, and it is predicted that a factor except the finance strongly works for economic growth.The conclusion whether or not Oates’s decentralization theorem was concluded remains much more vague by the complicated political economic system in this way in China.
The objective of this paper is to examine whether the level of fiscal decentralization of a country is a relevant variable to explain public investment in innovation (measured as the share of research and development (R&D) spending in total government budget) and the intensity of basic research within the public R&D bundle. To assess the effects of decentralization, we present a theoretical model where a 'benevolent government' invests in R&D aiming at maximizing net income available in the country (central government) or in the respective region (subnational government), states compete to attract capital investment, and R&D results are subject to interregional knowledge spillovers. According to the model, decentralization leads to a lower share of basic research in government innovation spending. The impact on total R&D is ambiguous, although it tends to be negative. The conclusions of the model are tested through an empirical analysis using country aggregate data. Confirming the predictions of the model, we find evidence that expenditure decentralization leads to lower intensity of basic research within public R&D, and that both types of decentralization negatively affect the size of innovation spending. Our findings suggest that deepening fiscal decentralization should be considered along with measures to compensate for innovation spending decrease, and that the central government should play a greater role in financing or carrying out basic research.
Douglas McWilliams, Cristian Niculescu-Marcu, Beatriz das Neves Abreu Marques da Cruz
Long Finance's Distributed Futures research programme is pleased to announce the publication of the report, “The Economic Impact Of Smart Ledgers On World Trade”, the latest in a series of exciting projects in the programme. The report, sponsored by the Cardano Foundation, came as a result of the the Worshipful Company of World Traders and the Distributed Futures' interest in quantifying the potential impact of Smart Ledger technology on international trade. Written by Douglas McWilliams, Cristian Niculescu-Marcu, and Beatriz Cruz from the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr), it includes a Foreword by Michael Parsons FCA, Chairman of Cardano Foundation, and a Preface by Professor Michael Mainelli, Executive Chairman of Z/Yen Group.
The report features a description of the econometric approach that maps trade frictions that Smart Ledger technology might be able to offset, especially in the realm of non-tariff and bureaucratic barriers to trade. The authors draw the following conclusions:
Smart Ledger technology could boost world trade in goods by at least $35 billion dollars per annum.
The cost of importing a single container could, therefore, be reduced by around $46, by simplifying procedures.
These potential benefits are driven by a 2.5% cost claw-back assumption, supported by case studies on previous technological advancements in trade. One such case study is containerization, where the cost savings have been calculated to be in the range of 20%.
If reduced uncertainty is, also, taken into account, using option pricing theory, the potential gains become even larger, with a potential monthly net cost saving of $172 million (or, approximately, $2 billion per annum).
This would boost world GDP by $10 to $20 billion and could, potentially, add between 450,000 and 900,000 to the worldwide demand for labor, boosting wages and living standards worldwide. The World Bank estimates that 10.7% of the world’s population still lives in extreme poverty, with an income below $1.90 a day (2011 prices).
The report also includes the results of a global survey of 247 contract and commercial managers, focusing on the respondents' awareness and use of Smart Ledgers, the importance they attach to various aspects, and the areas of ‘pain’ that could be relieved by the adoption of Smart Ledger technology. There are some truly insightful results.
Smart Ledgers are based on a combination of mutual distributed ledgers (multi-organisational databases with a super audit trail) with embedded programming and sensing, thus permitting semi-intelligent, autonomous transactions. Smart Ledgers are touted as a technology for fair play in a globalized world. There are numerous projects building trade systems using this technology with announcements from governments, shipping firms, large IT firms, and the like.
As Michael Mainelli wrote in his Preface to the report: Trade reaps economic benefits from specialization and comparative advantage, creates prosperity, distributes success and wealth, and collectively enriches all of our societies and communities. Hopefully, knowing the scale of relative benefits can help speed adoption of some boring technology – ‘multi-organisational databases with a super audit trail’ - for the benefit of all of us.
Z/Yen and Long Finance would like to acknowledge the significant contribution of the Worshipful Company of World Traders, Cardano Foundation, IACCM, the City of London Corporation, and the Centre for Economics and Business Research.
This paper examines the impact of fiscal decentralization on both public investment in innovation (measured as the share of research and development - R&D - spending in total government budget) and on the intensity of basic research within the public R&D bundle. We present a theoretical model where a ‘benevolent government’ invests in R&D aiming at maximizing net income available in the country (central government) or in the respective region (subnational government), where states compete to attract capital investment, and where R&D results are subject to interregional knowledge spillovers. The model predicts that decentralization leads to a lower level of public spending on innovation and to a lower share of basic research in government R&D budgets. The implications of the model are empirically tested utilizing country aggregate data. We find evidence that expenditure decentralization leads to lower intensity of basic research within public R&D and that both revenue and expenditure decentralization negatively affect the size of innovation spending. The findings suggest that fiscal decentralization policy, expected to be beneficial in many other dimensions, should be accompanied by measures to compensate for the otherwise decrease in innovation spending and that the assignment of expenditure responsibilities should have central government play a greater role in financing and carrying out basic research.
<strong>Abstract</strong><br> Many reforms have been undertaken in local governance after the collapse of the<br> totalitarian, centrist and bureaucratic regimes in Central and Eastern Europe. Albania<br> has demonstrated that decentralization is a major development tool. More than two<br> decades of decentralization activities have revealed that the decentralization process has<br> brought about changes in the operation of institutions and delivery of services, even<br> though this change has taken place gradually. Fiscal decentralization is one of the three<br> dimensions that characterize the decentralization process. Local finance issues are an<br> everyday topic in countries in transition and should be addressed by means of an approach<br> that favors consolidation of local autonomy. Local governments in Albania have lacked,<br> and continue to lack, the fiscal capacity to deliver on the promise of decentralization<br> to improve public services and to promote and nurture local economic development.<br> Decentralization can promote economic development and improve citizens’ welfare<br> and living standards when service delivery and the quality of the decisions over how<br> public resources are deployed are improved, but local governments remain hampered<br> by inadequate transfers from the central government and from restraints imposed on<br> various revenue-generating options. However, inadequate financial instruments,<br> especially those of intergovernmental transfers, have affected regional disparities. In this<br> paper, through comparative analysis, analyzing a part of the Region (Qark) of Lezha’s<br> LGUs, economic development indicators, will approve the need for reform of these LGUs’<br> financial instruments in order to narrow the gap of regional disparities in Albania.