Blockchain Papers

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3,636 papersLast indexed Aug 31, 2026
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Aug 17, 2020¡Journal of risk and financial management
29 cites
A Cryptocurrency Spectrum Short Analysis

Mircea Constantin Șcheau, Simona Liliana Paramon Crăciunescu, Iulia Brici, Monica Violeta Achim

Technological development brings about economic changes that affect most citizens, both in developed and undeveloped countries. The implementation of blockchain technologies that bring cryptocurrencies into the economy and everyday life also induce risks. Authorities are continuously concerned about ensuring balance, which is, among other things, a prudent attitude. Achieving this goal sometimes requires the development of standards and regulations applicable at the national or global level. This paper attempts to dive deeper into the worldwide operations, related to cryptocurrencies, as part of a general phenomenon, and also expose some of the intersections with cybercrime. Without impeding creativity, implementing suggested proposals must comply with the rules in effect and provide sufficient flexibility for adapting and integrating them. Different segments need to align or reposition, as alteration is only allowed in a positive way. Adopting cryptocurrency decisions should be unitary, based on standard policies.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Aug 17, 2020¡Finance research letters
26 cites
How are Bitcoin forks related to Bitcoin?

Walter BazĂĄn-Palomino

No abstract is available for this record.

Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Aug 11, 2020¡The Singapore Economic Review
5 cites
WHO IS THE CHASER IN CRYPTOCURRENCIES?

Zheng-Zheng Li, Chi‐Wei Su, Meng Qin, Muhammad Umar

This paper explores the interactions between the Bitcoin (BTC) prices in the US and Chinese markets, by employing the bootstrap rolling window causality test. The results reveal that BTC prices behave differently across markets, and also vary with time, which subjects to the theory of price discovery. In other words, the BTC price in one market could precede the other, and vice versa, based on the information advantage. Markets that are more flexible (US) respond sensitively to information, thus, in order to induce the price changes in Chinese markets. The improvements in the economic conditions of the emerging markets have exerted an influential role in global markets. Since the Chinese market possesses a considerable amount of trading volumes, the BTC price in the US can be assumed to chase the BTC price in China. The lead–lag relationship between these two markets also reflects the acknowledgement of the aversion towards the risks involved in accepting BTC as a currency. However, knowing which market reacts the most quickly to new information could prove to be beneficial to regulators who aim to implement a particular BTC price, and, as a result, prevent any arbitrary prices, and eventually stabilize the financial market.

Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Aug 10, 2020¡Cryptocurrency and Blockchain Technology
2 cites
An analysis of the development of cryptocurrency research

Shaen Corbet, Brian M. Lucey

In this chapter, we investigate the literature on both broad- and narrow-based cryptocurrency research from a bibliometric and scientometric perspective. While Bitcoin, presented as the first every \ncryptocurrency by Nakamoto [2009], was established as the first piece of a decade-long expansion \nof academic literature based on the development of this new financial product and the associated \nbenefits and issues contained therein. We attempt to re-trace and provide a thorough explanation \nof the flow of research direction during this period across all disciplines. We provide clear evidence \nof a growing but fragmented research area. We conclude that there is a significant difference in \nhow researchers treat broad conceptual topics versus individual products. We finally provide a \nconcise overview of the current topics that have been central to recent research efforts, while attempting to provide oversight key areas that have presented evidence of particular deficiency. Such \nrecommendations will provide direction for future research synergy.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
FinTech, Crowdfunding, Digital Finance
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Aug 10, 2020¡Journal of risk and financial management
54 cites
Cryptocurrency Trading Using Machine Learning

Mayank Puri, Aman Garg, Lekha Rani

Education on cryptocurrency is essential for individuals to make informed decisions regarding foreign investment in digital assets. In recent years there is an exponential increase in the price of cryptocurrency due to its easy trading especially in developing countries so the trend of financial institutions buying cryptocurrency into their portfolios has grown in the past decade which results in economic growth. The first completely digital assets that asset managers have included are cryptocurrencies. Traders have a unique opportunity to forecast price swings due to social media’s impact on cryptocurrency prices. Trading using Al and Machine Learning has drawn more attention in recent years. One could investigate the above hypothesis to determine if it is feasible to capitalize on the Bitcoin market’s inefficiency for the purpose of generating unusually high profits. The advanced machine-learning techniques enable straightforward trading strategies to exceed conventional benchmarks. The findings demonstrate how basic computational processes might assist predict the near-term development of the bitcoin market. Further, there are prediction and comparison prices using SVM and Random Forest algorithms on the basics of efficiency while changing the number of days.

Open access
3 source records
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Aug 2, 2020¡International Journal of Finance & Economics
9 cites
Modelling cryptocurrency high–low prices using fractional cointegrating VAR

OlaOluwa S. Yaya, Xuan Vinh Vo, Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, Adeolu O. Adewuyi

Abstract This paper empirically provides support for fractional cointegration of high and low cryptocurrency price series, using particularly, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple; synchronized at different high time frequencies. The difference of high and low price gives the price range, and the range‐based estimator of volatility is more efficient than the return‐based estimator of realized volatility. A more general fractional cointegration technique applied is the Fractional Cointegrating Vector Autoregressive framework. The results show that high and low cryptocurrency prices are actually cointegrated in both stationary and non‐stationary levels; that is, the range of high–low price. It is therefore quite interesting to note that the fractional cointegration approach presents a lower measure of the persistence for the range compared to the fractional integration approach, and the results are insensitive to different time frequencies. The main finding in this work serves as an alternative volatility estimation method in cryptocurrency and other assets' price modelling and forecasting.

2 source records
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Aug 1, 2020¡Automation and Remote Control
0 cites
Analysis of Equilibria in Systems with Endogenously Formed Utility Functions

Georgiy Kolesnik

A direct mechanism of impact on the utility functions of agents in social and economic systems is studied. This mechanism is widely used in various forms by public authorities, commercial and non-profit organizations for reaching the desired behavior of individuals. A game-theoretic model of a hierarchical system composed of agents and super-individuals who can modify their utility functions is considered. The properties of equilibria in this model are investigated and the systems of different structure are compared with each other in terms of efficiency. It is established that the centralized management of super-individuals in certain conditions may be less effective in terms of maximizing public welfare than the decentralized schemes. In particular, this property can explain the successful development of peer-to-peer markets and decentralized financing mechanisms of projects in various spheres of human activity. Also, the presence of vertical competition effects in the system is demonstrated, which reduce the efficiency of equilibria with increasing the number of super-individuals.

Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Economic theories and models
Game Theory and Applications
Original source
Aug 1, 2020¡Heliyon
78 cites
Herding behaviour in digital currency markets: An integrated survey and empirical estimation

Νikolaos Kyriazis

This paper reviews the empirical literature on the highly popular phenomenon of herding behaviour in the markets of digital currencies. Furthermore, a comparison takes place with outcomes from earlier studies about traditional financial assets. Moreover, we empirically investigate herding behaviour of 240 cryptocurrencies during bull and bear markets. The present survey suggests that empirical findings about whether herding phenomena have made a significant appearance or not in cryptocurrency markets are split. The Cross-sectional absolute deviations (CSAD) and Cross-sectional standard deviations (CSSD) approaches for measuring herding tendencies are found to be the most popular. Different behaviour is detected in bull periods compared to bear markets. Nevertheless, evidence from primary studies indicates that herding is stronger during extreme situations rather than in normal conditions. However, our empirical estimations reveal that herding behaviour is evident only in bull markets. These findings cast light on and provide a roadmap for investment decisions with modern forms of liquidity.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Aug 1, 2020¡Advances in Complex Systems
4 cites
THE DYNAMICS OF PRICE–VOLUME INFORMATION TRANSFER IN THE CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKETS

Jinglan Zheng, Chun-Xiao Nie

This study examines the information flow between prices and transaction volumes in the cryptocurrency market, where transfer entropy is used for measurement. We selected four cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and XRP) with large market values, and Bitcoin and BCH (Bitcoin Cash) for hard fork analysis; a hard fork is when a single cryptocurrency splits in two. By examining the real price data, we show that the long-term time series includes too much noise obscuring the local information flow; thus, a dynamic calculation is needed. The long-term and short-term sliding transfer entropy (TE) values and the corresponding [Formula: see text]-values, based on daily data, indicate that there is a dynamic information flow. The dominant direction of which is [Formula: see text]. In addition, the example based on minute Bitcoin data also shows a dynamic flow of information between price and transaction volume. The price–volume dynamics of multiple time scales helps to analyze the price mechanism in the cryptocurrency market.

2 source records
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Theoretical and Computational Physics
Original source
Aug 1, 2020¡2020 International Conference on Information Management and Technology (ICIMTech)
6 cites
Assessing Qualification of Crypto Currency as A Financial Assets: A Case Study on Bitcoin

Moch Doddy Ariefianto

We assess the qualification of Crypto Currency as a new emerging financial asset class using Bitcoin as a sample study. As a financial asset class, its value should be derived from business prospects, uncertainty, and opportunity cost of money (riskless rate). We model the asset value relationship in form of an error correction model in regard of possible nonstationary data properties. We use GSCI commodity index, S&P 500 Index, Economic Policy Uncertainty Index and Yield of 5-year US Treasury Bonds as proxies of explanatory variables. Our findings show that the notion of crypto currency as a financial asset might be spurious. Common stochastic trend is the source of apparent correlation between Bitcoin and the regressors. This lack of fundamental linkage opens a way to improve cryptocurrency business model for greater global acceptance.

Market Dynamics and Volatility
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
Aug 1, 2020¡Journal of Complex Networks
16 cites
On the transaction dynamics of the Ethereum-based cryptocurrency

Juliana Zanelatto GaviĂŁo Mascarenhas, Artur Ziviani, Klaus Wehmuth, Alex Borges Vieira

Abstract Distributed blockchain-based consensus platforms have witnessed steady growth in recent years. In special, cryptocurrency is one of the main applications of the blockchain technology. Despite the recent interest in blockchain, we still lack in-depth analysis of systems that use such a technology. In fact, most of the existing works focus on Bitcoin. Moreover, blockchain-based cryptocurrency systems are highly dynamic. Their internal mechanisms and consensus algorithms evolve over time. Users also change their interests in a given platform, which in turn, reflect their behaviour. In this article, we model the Ethereum-based cryptocurrency transaction network, a more recent blockchain platform that is gaining a significant share in the cryptocurrency market. We model the transactions of Ethereum as a complex system, representing this complex system as a time-varying graph. Our model and the analysis we conduct rely on a 3-year dataset of Ethereum-based cryptocurrency transactions, comprising more than 38 million users (i.e. unique wallet addresses) and almost 300 million transactions. We analyse the evolution of users and transactions over time. Our study also highlights the centralization tendency of the transaction network on both user and time aspects. Finally, we also analyse the formation of communities and the evolution of connected components considering the dynamics of the Ethereum-based cryptocurrency transaction network.

Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Complex Network Analysis Techniques
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Jul 30, 2020¡Entropy
48 cites
Randomness, Informational Entropy, and Volatility Interdependencies among the Major World Markets: The Role of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Salim Lahmiri, Stelios Bekiros

The main purpose of our paper is to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on randomness in volatility series of world major markets and to examine its effect on their interconnections. The data set includes equity (Bitcoin and Standard and Poor’s 500), precious metals (Gold and Silver), and energy markets (West Texas Instruments, Brent, and Gas). The generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model is applied to the return series. The wavelet packet Shannon entropy is calculated from the estimated volatility series to assess randomness. Hierarchical clustering is employed to examine interconnections between volatilities. We found that (i) randomness in volatility of the S&P500 and in the volatility of precious metals were the most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, while (ii) randomness in energy markets was less affected by the pandemic than equity and precious metal markets. Additionally, (iii) we showed an apparent emergence of three volatility clusters: precious metals (Gold and Silver), energy (Brent and Gas), and Bitcoin and WTI, and (iv) the S&P500 volatility represents a unique cluster, while (v) the S&P500 market volatility was not connected to the volatility of Bitcoin, energy, and precious metal markets before the pandemic. Moreover, (vi) the S&P500 market volatility became connected to volatility in energy markets and volatility in Bitcoin during the pandemic, and (vii) the volatility in precious metals is less connected to volatility in energy markets and to volatility in Bitcoin market during the pandemic. It is concluded that (i) investors may diversify their portfolios across single constituents of clusters, (ii) investing in energy markets during the pandemic period is appealing because of lower randomness in their respective volatilities, and that (iii) constructing a diversified portfolio would not be challenging as clustering structures are fairly stable across periods.

Open access
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Original source
Jul 26, 2020¡Finance research letters
14 cites
Bitcoin arbitrage

Andrei Shynkevich

No abstract is available for this record.

2 source records
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Jul 25, 2020¡The Singapore Economic Review
5 cites
An Application of Autoregressive Extreme Value Theory to Cryptocurrencies

Chun Kwong Koo, Artur Semeyutin, Chi Keung Marco Lau, Jian Fu

We study the tails’ behavior of four major Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Litecoin, Ethereum and Ripple) by employing the Autoregressive Fr´echet model for conditional maxima. Using five-minute-high-frequency data, we report time-evolving tails as well as provide a straightforward measure of tails asymmetry for positive and negative intra-day returns. We find that only Bitcoin has a notable more massive tail for positive returns asymmetry while the remaining three Cryptocurrencies have a general tendency towards more massive negative intra-day tails. All considered Cryptocurrencies depict lighter tails as the market matures.

Open access
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Original source
Jul 24, 2020¡Mathematics
25 cites
A Novel Methodology to Calculate the Probability of Volatility Clusters in Financial Series: An Application to Cryptocurrency Markets

Venelina Nikolova, Juan Evangelista Trinidad Segovia, M. Fernández–Martínez, M.A. Sánchez-Granero

One of the main characteristics of cryptocurrencies is the high volatility of their exchange rates. In a previous work, the authors found that a process with volatility clusters displays a volatility series with a high Hurst exponent. In this paper, we provide a novel methodology to calculate the probability of volatility clusters with a special emphasis on cryptocurrencies. With this aim, we calculate the Hurst exponent of a volatility series by means of the FD4 approach. An explicit criterion to computationally determine whether there exist volatility clusters of a fixed size is described. We found that the probabilities of volatility clusters of an index (S&P500) and a stock (Apple) showed a similar profile, whereas the probability of volatility clusters of a forex pair (Euro/USD) became quite lower. On the other hand, a similar profile appeared for Bitcoin/USD, Ethereum/USD, and Ripple/USD cryptocurrencies, with the probabilities of volatility clusters of all such cryptocurrencies being much greater than the ones of the three traditional assets. Our results suggest that the volatility in cryptocurrencies changes faster than in traditional assets, and much faster than in forex pairs.

Open access
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Original source
Jul 24, 2020¡Frontiers in Physics
47 cites
Risk Connectedness Heterogeneity in the Cryptocurrency Markets

Zhenghui Li, Yan Wang, Zhehao Huang

This paper examines the risk connectedness across the seven cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin, Stellar, Monero and Dash, who admit large capitalizations in the cryptocurrency market. The data sample is from August 7, 2015 to February 15, 2020. We apply the CAViaR model to measure the return risks of the cryptocurrencies, showing their similar risk tendencies with volatility clusterings during the beginning of 2017 and the end of 2018. The net pairwise spillover index developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) is use as the measure for the risk connectedness among the cryptocurrencies. We find that the risk spillover directions are highly correlative with the capitalizations of the cryptocurrencies. The cryptocurrencies with small capitalizations transmit risks to those with large cryptocurrencies. In the risk downward tendency, the risk spillover levels among the cryptocurrencies are stronger than that in the risk upward tendency, while the spillover directions keep the same in both risk tendencies, except the cryptocurrency Monero, which may be due to the trading volume difference from the others. We use the generalized forecast error variance decomposition for the spillover index and explore the risk connectedness across the cryptocurrencies in differen time frequencies, including the short term (0-4 days), medium term (4-30 days) and long term (30-300 days) frequency. The risk spillovers in the short term frequency can be neglected, which implies the delay effects of risk spillovers. The risk spillovers in medium term frequency are mostly stronger than that in long term frequency. The dynamic connectedness result shows the risk spillover mean in the long term frequency is larger than that in the medium term frequency. An inverse result holds for the risk spillover range. The risk spillover fluctuations in the long and medium term frequency admit the coincident comparison for spillover levels in these two frequencies. The findings in this paper provide suggestions for regulators controlling the market stability and investors generating investment strategies.

Open access
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Jul 23, 2020¡EPJ Data Science
45 cites
The Butterfly “Affect”: impact of development practices on cryptocurrency prices

Silvia Bartolucci, Giuseppe Destefanis, Marco Ortu, Nicola Uras ¡ 6 authors

Abstract The network of developers in distributed ledgers and blockchains open source projects is essential to maintaining the platform: understanding the structure of their exchanges, analysing their activity and its quality (e.g. issues resolution times, politeness in comments) is important to determine how “healthy” and efficient a project is. The quality of a project affects the trust in the platform, and therefore the value of the digital tokens exchanged over it. In this paper, we investigate whether developers’ emotions can effectively provide insights that can improve the prediction of the price of tokens. We consider developers’ comments and activity for two major blockchain projects, namely Ethereum and Bitcoin, extracted from Github. We measure sentiment and emotions (joy, love, anger, etc.) of the developers’ comments over time, and test the corresponding time series (i.e. the affect time series ) for correlations and causality with the Bitcoin/Ethereum time series of prices. Our analysis shows the existence of a Granger-causality between the time series of developers’ emotions and Bitcoin/Ethereum price. Moreover, using an artificial recurrent neural network (LSTM), we can show that the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)—associated with the prediction of the prices of cryptocurrencies—significantly decreases when including the affect time series.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source