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Oct 2, 2023·arXiv (Cornell University)
2 cites
Cryptocurrency Portfolio Optimization by Neural Networks

Quoc Minh Nguyen, Dat Tran, Juho Kanniainen, Alexandros Iosifidis · 5 authors

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a va-riety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment products. The proposed algorithm constructs a portfolio that contains a pair of negatively correlated assets. A deep neural network, which outputs the allocation weight of each asset at a time interval, is trained to maximize the Sharpe ratio. A novel loss term is proposed to regulate the network's bias towards a specific asset, thus enforcing the network to learn an allocation strategy that is close to a minimum variance strategy. Extensive experiments were conducted using data collected from Binance spanning 19 months to evaluate the effectiveness of our approach. The backtest results show that the proposed algorithm can produce neural networks that are able to make profits in different market situations.

Open access
3 source records
cs.LG
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
Sep 30, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
DURENDAL: Graph deep learning framework for temporal heterogeneous networks

Manuel Dileo, Matteo Zignani, Sabrina Gaito

Temporal Heterogeneous Networks (THNs) are evolving networks that characterize many real-world applications such as citation and events networks, recommender systems, and knowledge graphs. Forecasting THNs involves predicting future connections within a network that evolves over time and comprises diverse types of nodes and interactions with varying temporal dynamics. Although some Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) models have been successfully applied to forecast THNs, there is a lack of a general overview of how the message-passing computation could be extended to treat THNs. Moreover, most of the current solutions exhibit pitfalls in their training and evaluation strategies. Hence, in this work, we propose a graph deep learning framework for THN forecasting. Our framework decomposes the computation of a GNN layer into multiple components and introduces two different schemes to update embedding representations for THNs. This design allows the classification of existing solutions into special instances of our framework and highlights their potential limitations. We also extend the set of benchmarks for THNs by introducing two novel high-resolution temporal heterogeneous graph datasets derived from an emerging Web3 platform and a well-established e-commerce website. Overall, we conducted the first massive evaluation of THNs solutions over four temporal heterogeneous network datasets on two different future link prediction tasks using a fair newly introduced evaluation setting that considers the evolving nature of the data. Based on the limitations of existing solutions, we develop a new model that combines working techniques from previous models and leverages a new embedding update scheme. Experiments show the prediction power of our model compared to current solutions for link prediction in temporal graphs. Moreover, the experimental evaluation highlights the strengths and weaknesses of the different solutions and shows the effectiveness of our framework design.

Open access
3 source records
cs.LG
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Machine Learning in Healthcare
Original source
Sep 29, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
Probabilistic Sampling-Enhanced Temporal-Spatial GCN: A Scalable Framework for Transaction Anomaly Detection in Ethereum Networks

Stefan Kambiz Behfar, Richard Mortier, Jon Crowcroft

The rapid growth of the Ethereum network necessitates advanced anomaly detection techniques to enhance security, transparency, and resilience against evolving malicious activities. While there have been significant strides in anomaly detection, they often fall short in capturing the intricate spatial-temporal patterns inherent in blockchain transactional data. This study presents a scalable framework that integrates Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) with Temporal Random Walks (TRW) specifically designed to adapt to the complexities and temporal dynamics of the Ethereum transaction network. Unlike traditional methods that focus on detecting specific attack types, such as front-running or flash loan exploits, our approach targets time-sensitive anomalies more broadly—detecting irregularities such as rapid transaction bursts, anomalous token swaps, and sudden volume spikes. This broader focus reduces reliance on pre-defined attack categories, making the method more adaptable to emerging and evolving malicious strategies. To ground our contributions, we establish three theoretical results: (1) the effectiveness of TRW in enhancing GCN-based anomaly detection by capturing temporal dependencies, (2) the identification of weight cancellation conditions in the anomaly detection process, and (3) the scalability and efficiency improvements of GCNs achieved through probabilistic sampling. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that the TRW-GCN framework outperforms state-of-the-art Temporal Graph Attention Networks (TGAT) in detecting time-sensitive anomalies. Furthermore, as part of our ablation study, we evaluated various anomaly detection techniques on the TRW-GCN embeddings and found that our proposed scoring classifier consistently achieves higher accuracy and precision compared to baseline methods such as Isolation Forest, One-Class SVM, and DBSCAN, thereby validating the robustness and adaptability of our framework.

Open access
2 source records
cs.LG
cs.AI
cs.CR
Original source
Sep 27, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
Temporal graph models fail to capture global temporal dynamics

Michał Daniluk, Jacek Dąbrowski

A recently released Temporal Graph Benchmark is analyzed in the context of Dynamic Link Property Prediction. We outline our observations and propose a trivial optimization-free baseline of "recently popular nodes" outperforming other methods on medium and large-size datasets in the Temporal Graph Benchmark. We propose two measures based on Wasserstein distance which can quantify the strength of short-term and long-term global dynamics of datasets. By analyzing our unexpectedly strong baseline, we show how standard negative sampling evaluation can be unsuitable for datasets with strong temporal dynamics. We also show how simple negative-sampling can lead to model degeneration during training, resulting in impossible to rank, fully saturated predictions of temporal graph networks. We propose improved negative sampling schemes for both training and evaluation and prove their usefulness. We conduct a comparison with a model trained non-contrastively without negative sampling. Our results provide a challenging baseline and indicate that temporal graph network architectures need deep rethinking for usage in problems with significant global dynamics, such as social media, cryptocurrency markets or e-commerce. We open-source the code for baselines, measures and proposed negative sampling schemes.

Open access
cs.IR
cs.LG
Original source
Sep 27, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
Hedging Properties of Algorithmic Investment Strategies using Long Short-Term Memory and Time Series models for Equity Indices

Jakub Michańków, Paweł Sakowski, Robert Ślepaczuk

This paper proposes a novel approach to hedging portfolios of risky assets when financial markets are affected by financial turmoils. We introduce a completely novel approach to diversification activity not on the level of single assets but on the level of ensemble algorithmic investment strategies (AIS) built based on the prices of these assets. We employ four types of diverse theoretical models (LSTM - Long Short-Term Memory, ARIMA-GARCH - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average - Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, momentum, and contrarian) to generate price forecasts, which are then used to produce investment signals in single and complex AIS. In such a way, we are able to verify the diversification potential of different types of investment strategies consisting of various assets (energy commodities, precious metals, cryptocurrencies, or soft commodities) in hedging ensemble AIS built for equity indices (S&P 500 index). Empirical data used in this study cover the period between 2004 and 2022. Our main conclusion is that LSTM-based strategies outperform the other models and that the best diversifier for the AIS built for the S&P 500 index is the AIS built for Bitcoin. Finally, we test the LSTM model for a higher frequency of data (1 hour). We conclude that it outperforms the results obtained using daily data.

Open access
q-fin.PM
cs.AI
cs.LG
Original source
Sep 26, 2023·ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data
3 cites
From Asset Flow to Status, Action and Intention Discovery: Early Malice Detection in Cryptocurrency

Ling Cheng, Feida Zhu, Yong Wang, Ruicheng Liang · 5 authors

Cryptocurrency has been subject to illicit activities probably more often than traditional financial assets due to the pseudo-anonymous nature of its transacting entities. An ideal detection model is expected to achieve all three critical properties of (I) early detection, (II) good interpretability, and (III) versatility for various illicit activities. However, existing solutions cannot meet all these requirements, as most of them heavily rely on deep learning without interpretability and are only available for retrospective analysis of a specific illicit type. To tackle all these challenges, we propose Intention-Monitor for early malice detection in Bitcoin (BTC), where the on-chain record data for a certain address are much scarcer than other cryptocurrency platforms. We first define asset transfer paths with the Decision-Tree based feature Selection and Complement (DT-SC) to build different feature sets for different malice types. Then, the Status/Action Proposal Module (S/A-PM) and the Intention-VAE module generate the status, action, intent-snippet, and hidden intent-snippet embedding. With all these modules, our model is highly interpretable and can detect various illegal activities. Moreover, well-designed loss functions further enhance the prediction speed and model's interpretability. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate that our proposed algorithm outperforms the state-of-the-art methods. Furthermore, additional case studies justify our model can not only explain existing illicit patterns but can also find new suspicious characters.

Open access
3 source records
cs.LG
cs.AI
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Original source
Sep 25, 2023·arXiv
5 cites
Secure Decentralized Learning with Blockchain

Xiaoxue Zhang, Yifan Hua, Chen Qian

Federated Learning (FL) is a well-known paradigm of distributed machine learning on mobile and IoT devices, which preserves data privacy and optimizes communication efficiency. To avoid the single point of failure problem in FL, decentralized federated learning (DFL) has been proposed to use peer-to-peer communication for model aggregation, which has been considered an attractive solution for machine learning tasks on distributed personal devices. However, this process is vulnerable to attackers who share false models and data. If there exists a group of malicious clients, they might harm the performance of the model by carrying out a poisoning attack. In addition, in DFL, clients often lack the incentives to contribute their computing powers to do model training. In this paper, we proposed Blockchain-based Decentralized Federated Learning (BDFL), which leverages a blockchain for decentralized model verification and auditing. BDFL includes an auditor committee for model verification, an incentive mechanism to encourage the participation of clients, a reputation model to evaluate the trustworthiness of clients, and a protocol suite for dynamic network updates. Evaluation results show that, with the reputation mechanism, BDFL achieves fast model convergence and high accuracy on real datasets even if there exist 30\% malicious clients in the system.

Open access
2 source records
cs.CR
cs.LG
Privacy-Preserving Technologies in Data
Original source
Sep 25, 2023·arXiv (Cornell University)
7 cites
DECORAIT -- DECentralized Opt-in/out Registry for AI Training

Kar Balan, Andrew Gilbert, Alexander Black, Simon Jenni · 6 authors

We present DECORAIT; a decentralized registry through which content creators may assert their right to opt in or out of AI training as well as receive reward for their contributions. Generative AI (GenAI) enables images to be synthesized using AI models trained on vast amounts of data scraped from public sources. Model and content creators who may wish to share their work openly without sanctioning its use for training are thus presented with a data governance challenge. Further, establishing the provenance of GenAI training data is important to creatives to ensure fair recognition and reward for their such use. We report a prototype of DECORAIT, which explores hierarchical clustering and a combination of on/off-chain storage to create a scalable decentralized registry to trace the provenance of GenAI training data in order to determine training consent and reward creatives who contribute that data. DECORAIT combines distributed ledger technology (DLT) with visual fingerprinting, leveraging the emerging C2PA (Coalition for Content Provenance and Authenticity) standard to create a secure, open registry through which creatives may express consent and data ownership for GenAI.

Open access
3 source records
cs.CR
cs.LG
eess.IV
Original source
Sep 22, 2023·Lecture notes in computer science
3 cites
Optimal Dynamic Fees for Blockchain Resources

Davide Crapis, Ciamac C. Moallemi, Shouqiao Wang

We develop a general and practical framework to address the problem of the optimal design of dynamic fee mechanisms for multiple blockchain resources. Our framework allows to compute policies that optimally trade-off between adjusting resource prices to handle persistent demand shifts versus being robust to local noise in the observed block demand. In the general case with more than one resource, our optimal policies correctly handle cross-effects (complementarity and substitutability) in resource demands. We also show how these cross-effects can be used to inform resource design, i.e. combining resources into bundles that have low demand-side cross-effects can yield simpler and more efficient price-update rules. Our framework is also practical, we demonstrate how it can be used to refine or inform the design of heuristic fee update rules such as EIP-1559 or EIP-4844 with two case studies. We then estimate a uni-dimensional version of our model using real market data from the Ethereum blockchain and empirically compare the performance of our optimal policies to EIP-1559.

Open access
3 source records
cs.GT
cs.CR
cs.LG
Original source
Sep 21, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
The Broad Impact of Feature Imitation: Neural Enhancements Across Financial, Speech, and Physiological Domains

Reza Khanmohammadi, Tuka Alhanai, Mohammad M. Ghassemi

Initialization of neural network weights plays a pivotal role in determining their performance. Feature Imitating Networks (FINs) offer a novel strategy by initializing weights to approximate specific closed-form statistical features, setting a promising foundation for deep learning architectures. While the applicability of FINs has been chiefly tested in biomedical domains, this study extends its exploration into other time series datasets. Three different experiments are conducted in this study to test the applicability of imitating Tsallis entropy for performance enhancement: Bitcoin price prediction, speech emotion recognition, and chronic neck pain detection. For the Bitcoin price prediction, models embedded with FINs reduced the root mean square error by around 1000 compared to the baseline. In the speech emotion recognition task, the FIN-augmented model increased classification accuracy by over 3 percent. Lastly, in the CNP detection experiment, an improvement of about 7 percent was observed compared to established classifiers. These findings validate the broad utility and potency of FINs in diverse applications.

Open access
cs.LG
stat.ML
Original source
Sep 20, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
A Model-Based Machine Learning Approach for Assessing the Performance of Blockchain Applications

Adel Albshri, Ali Alzubaidi, Ellis Solaiman

The recent advancement of Blockchain technology consolidates its status as a viable alternative for various domains. However, evaluating the performance of blockchain applications can be challenging due to the underlying infrastructure's complexity and distributed nature. Therefore, a reliable modelling approach is needed to boost Blockchain-based applications' development and evaluation. While simulation-based solutions have been researched, machine learning (ML) model-based techniques are rarely discussed in conjunction with evaluating blockchain application performance. Our novel research makes use of two ML model-based methods. Firstly, we train a $k$ nearest neighbour ($k$NN) and support vector machine (SVM) to predict blockchain performance using predetermined configuration parameters. Secondly, we employ the salp swarm optimization (SO) ML model which enables the investigation of optimal blockchain configurations for achieving the required performance level. We use rough set theory to enhance SO, hereafter called ISO, which we demonstrate to prove achieving an accurate recommendation of optimal parameter configurations; despite uncertainty. Finally, statistical comparisons indicate that our models have a competitive edge. The $k$NN model outperforms SVM by 5\% and the ISO also demonstrates a reduction of 4\% inaccuracy deviation compared to regular SO.

Open access
cs.DC
cs.ET
cs.LG
Original source
Sep 19, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
Mean Absolute Directional Loss as a New Loss Function for Machine Learning Problems in Algorithmic Investment Strategies

Jakub Michańków, Paweł Sakowski, Robert Ślepaczuk

This paper investigates the issue of an adequate loss function in the optimization of machine learning models used in the forecasting of financial time series for the purpose of algorithmic investment strategies (AIS) construction. We propose the Mean Absolute Directional Loss (MADL) function, solving important problems of classical forecast error functions in extracting information from forecasts to create efficient buy/sell signals in algorithmic investment strategies. Finally, based on the data from two different asset classes (cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin and commodities: Crude Oil), we show that the new loss function enables us to select better hyperparameters for the LSTM model and obtain more efficient investment strategies, with regard to risk-adjusted return metrics on the out-of-sample data.

Open access
q-fin.CP
cs.AI
cs.LG
Original source
Sep 18, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
New Bounds on the Accuracy of Majority Voting for Multi-Class Classification

Sina Aeeneh, Nikola Zlatanov, Jiangshan Yu

Majority voting is a simple mathematical function that returns the value that appears most often in a set. As a popular decision fusion technique, the majority voting function (MVF) finds applications in resolving conflicts, where a number of independent voters report their opinions on a classification problem. Despite its importance and its various applications in ensemble learning, data crowd-sourcing, remote sensing, and data oracles for blockchains, the accuracy of the MVF for the general multi-class classification problem has remained unknown. In this paper, we derive a new upper bound on the accuracy of the MVF for the multi-class classification problem. More specifically, we show that under certain conditions, the error rate of the MVF exponentially decays toward zero as the number of independent voters increases. Conversely, the error rate of the MVF exponentially grows with the number of independent voters if these conditions are not met. We first explore the problem for independent and identically distributed voters where we assume that every voter follows the same conditional probability distribution of voting for different classes, given the true classification of the data point. Next, we extend our results for the case where the voters are independent but non-identically distributed. Using the derived results, we then provide a discussion on the accuracy of the truth discovery algorithms. We show that in the best-case scenarios, truth discovery algorithms operate as an amplified MVF and thereby achieve a small error rate only when the MVF achieves a small error rate, and vice versa, achieve a large error rate when the MVF also achieves a large error rate. In the worst-case scenario, the truth discovery algorithms may achieve a higher error rate than the MVF. Finally, we confirm our theoretical results using numerical simulations.

Open access
stat.ML
cs.LG
Original source
Sep 12, 2023·Lecture notes in computer science
5 cites
Verifiable Fairness: Privacy-preserving Computation of Fairness for Machine Learning Systems

Ehsan Toreini, Maryam Mehrnezhad, Aad van Moorsel

Fair machine learning is a thriving and vibrant research topic. In this paper, we propose Fairness as a Service (FaaS), a secure, verifiable and privacy-preserving protocol to computes and verify the fairness of any machine learning (ML) model. In the deisgn of FaaS, the data and outcomes are represented through cryptograms to ensure privacy. Also, zero knowledge proofs guarantee the well-formedness of the cryptograms and underlying data. FaaS is model--agnostic and can support various fairness metrics; hence, it can be used as a service to audit the fairness of any ML model. Our solution requires no trusted third party or private channels for the computation of the fairness metric. The security guarantees and commitments are implemented in a way that every step is securely transparent and verifiable from the start to the end of the process. The cryptograms of all input data are publicly available for everyone, e.g., auditors, social activists and experts, to verify the correctness of the process. We implemented FaaS to investigate performance and demonstrate the successful use of FaaS for a publicly available data set with thousands of entries.

Open access
3 source records
cs.CR
cs.CY
cs.LG
Original source
Sep 11, 2023·arXiv (Cornell University)
11 cites
Advancing Federated Learning in 6G: A Trusted Architecture with Graph-based Analysis

Wenxuan Ye, Chendi Qian, Xueli An, Xueqiang Yan · 5 authors

Integrating native AI support into the network architecture is an essential objective of 6G. Federated Learning (FL) emerges as a potential paradigm, facilitating decentralized AI model training across a diverse range of devices under the co-ordination of a central server. However, several challenges hinder its wide application in the 6G context, such as malicious attacks and privacy snooping on local model updates, and centralization pitfalls. This work proposes a trusted architecture for supporting FL, which utilizes Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) and Graph Neural Network (GNN), including three key features. First, a pre-processing layer employing homomorphic encryption is incorporated to securely aggregate local models, preserving the privacy of individual models. Second, given the distributed nature and graph structure between clients and nodes in the pre-processing layer, GNN is leveraged to identify abnormal local models, enhancing system security. Third, DLT is utilized to decentralize the system by selecting one of the candidates to perform the central server's functions. Additionally, DLT ensures reliable data management by recording data exchanges in an immutable and transparent ledger. The feasibility of the novel architecture is validated through simulations, demonstrating improved performance in anomalous model detection and global model accuracy compared to relevant baselines.

Open access
3 source records
cs.NI
cs.LG
Privacy-Preserving Technologies in Data
Original source
Sep 10, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
Federated Learning Incentive Mechanism under Buyers' Auction Market

Jiaxi Yang, Zihao Guo, Sheng Cao, Cuifang Zhao · 5 authors

Auction-based Federated Learning (AFL) enables open collaboration among self-interested data consumers and data owners. Existing AFL approaches are commonly under the assumption of sellers' market in that the service clients as sellers are treated as scarce resources so that the aggregation servers as buyers need to compete the bids. Yet, as the technology progresses, an increasing number of qualified clients are now capable of performing federated learning tasks, leading to shift from sellers' market to a buyers' market. In this paper, we shift the angle by adapting the procurement auction framework, aiming to explain the pricing behavior under buyers' market. Our modeling starts with basic setting under complete information, then move further to the scenario where sellers' information are not fully observable. In order to select clients with high reliability and data quality, and to prevent from external attacks, we utilize a blockchain-based reputation mechanism. The experimental results validate the effectiveness of our approach.

Open access
cs.LG
cs.AI
cs.GT
Original source
Sep 4, 2023·arXiv (Cornell University)
0 cites
Efficient Social Choice via NLP and Sampling

Lior Ashkenazy, Nimrod Talmon

Attention-Aware Social Choice tackles the fundamental conflict faced by some agent communities between their desire to include all members in the decision making processes and the limited time and attention that are at the disposal of the community members. Here, we investigate a combination of two techniques for attention-aware social choice, namely Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Sampling. Essentially, we propose a system in which each governance proposal to change the status quo is first sent to a trained NLP model that estimates the probability that the proposal would pass if all community members directly vote on it; then, based on such an estimation, a population sample of a certain size is being selected and the proposal is decided upon by taking the sample majority. We develop several concrete algorithms following the scheme described above and evaluate them using various data, including such from several Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs).

Open access
2 source records
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
Complex Network Analysis Techniques
Multi-Agent Systems and Negotiation
Original source
Sep 4, 2023·arXiv (Cornell University)
7 cites
Effective Illicit Account Detection on Large Cryptocurrency MultiGraphs

Zhihao Ding, J. Y. Shi, Qing Li, Jiannong Cao

Cryptocurrencies are rapidly expanding and becoming vital in digital financial markets. However, the rise in cryptocurrency-related illicit activities has led to significant losses for users. To protect the security of these platforms, it is critical to identify illicit accounts effectively. Current detection methods mainly depend on feature engineering or are inadequate to leverage the complex information within cryptocurrency transaction networks, resulting in suboptimal performance. In this paper, we present DIAM, an effective method for detecting illicit accounts in cryptocurrency transaction networks modeled by directed multi-graphs with attributed edges. DIAM first features an Edge2Seq module that captures intrinsic transaction patterns from parallel edges by considering edge attributes and their directed sequences, to generate effective node representations. Then in DIAM, we design a multigraph Discrepancy (MGD) module with a tailored message passing mechanism to capture the discrepant features between normal and illicit nodes over the multigraph topology, assisted by an attention mechanism. DIAM integrates these techniques for end-to-end training to detect illicit accounts from legitimate ones. Extensive experiments, comparing against 15 existing solutions on 4 large cryptocurrency datasets of Bitcoin and Ethereum, demonstrate that DIAM consistently outperforms others in accurately identifying illicit accounts. For example, on a Bitcoin dataset with 20 million nodes and 203 million edges, DIAM attains an F1 score of 96.55%, markedly surpassing the runner-up's score of 83.92%. The code is available at https://github.com/TommyDzh/DIAM.

Open access
3 source records
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Spam and Phishing Detection
Advanced Graph Neural Networks
Original source
Aug 31, 2023·Lecture notes in computer science
0 cites
Improving the Accuracy of Transaction-Based Ponzi Detection on Ethereum

Phuong Duy Huynh, Son Hoang Dau, Xiaodong Li, Phuc Luong · 5 authors

The Ponzi scheme, an old-fashioned fraud, is now popular on the Ethereum blockchain, causing considerable financial losses to many crypto investors. A few Ponzi detection methods have been proposed in the literature, most of which detect a Ponzi scheme based on its smart contract source code. This contract-code-based approach, while achieving very high accuracy, is not robust because a Ponzi developer can fool a detection model by obfuscating the opcode or inventing a new profit distribution logic that cannot be detected. On the contrary, a transaction-based approach could improve the robustness of detection because transactions, unlike smart contracts, are harder to be manipulated. However, the current transaction-based detection models achieve fairly low accuracy. In this paper, we aim to improve the accuracy of the transaction-based models by employing time-series features, which turn out to be crucial in capturing the life-time behaviour a Ponzi application but were completely overlooked in previous works. We propose a new set of 85 features (22 known account-based and 63 new time-series features), which allows off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms to achieve up to 30% higher F1-scores compared to existing works.

Open access
3 source records
Spam and Phishing Detection
Cybercrime and Law Enforcement Studies
Advanced Malware Detection Techniques
Original source
Aug 25, 2023·arXiv (Cornell University)
1 cites
DAG-ACFL: Asynchronous Clustered Federated Learning based on DAG-DLT

Xiaofeng Xue, Haokun Mao, Qiong Li

Federated learning (FL) aims to collaboratively train a global model while ensuring client data privacy. However, FL faces challenges from the non-IID data distribution among clients. Clustered FL (CFL) has emerged as a promising solution, but most existing CFL frameworks adopt synchronous frameworks lacking asynchrony. An asynchronous CFL framework called SDAGFL based on directed acyclic graph distributed ledger techniques (DAG-DLT) was proposed, but its complete decentralization leads to high communication and storage costs. We propose DAG-ACFL, an asynchronous clustered FL framework based on directed acyclic graph distributed ledger techniques (DAG-DLT). We first detail the components of DAG-ACFL. A tip selection algorithm based on the cosine similarity of model parameters is then designed to aggregate models from clients with similar distributions. An adaptive tip selection algorithm leveraging change-point detection dynamically determines the number of selected tips. We evaluate the clustering and training performance of DAG-ACFL on multiple datasets and analyze its communication and storage costs. Experiments show the superiority of DAG-ACFL in asynchronous clustered FL. By combining DAG-DLT with clustered FL, DAG-ACFL realizes robust, decentralized and private model training with efficient performance.

Open access
2 source records
cs.LG
cs.AI
cs.DC
Original source
Aug 23, 2023·Evolution of ESG-focused DLT Research: An NLP Analysis of the Literature. Quantitative Science Studies, 1-30 (2025)
3 cites
Evolution of ESG-focused DLT Research: An NLP Analysis of the Literature

Walter Hernández, Kamil Tylinski, Alastair Moore, Niall Roche · 9 authors

Abstract Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) faces increasing environmental scrutiny, particularly concerning the energy consumption of the Proof of Work (PoW) consensus mechanism and broader Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues. However, existing systematic literature reviews of DLT rely on limited analyses of citations, abstracts, and keywords, failing to fully capture the field’s complexity and ESG concerns. We address these challenges by analyzing the full text of 24,539 publications using Natural Language Processing (NLP) with our manually labeled Named Entity Recognition (NER) data set of 39,427 entities for DLT. This methodology identified 505 key publications at the DLT/ESG intersection, enabling comprehensive domain analysis. Our combined NLP and temporal graph analysis reveals critical trends in DLT evolution and ESG impacts, including cryptography and peer-to-peer networks research’s foundational influence, Bitcoin’s persistent impact on research and environmental concerns (a “Lindy effect”), Ethereum’s catalytic role on Proof of Stake (PoS) and smart contract adoption, and the industry’s progressive shift toward energy-efficient consensus mechanisms. Our contributions include the first DLT-specific NER data set addressing the scarcity of high-quality labeled NLP data in blockchain research, a methodology integrating NLP and temporal graph analysis for large-scale interdisciplinary literature reviews, and the first NLP-driven literature review focusing on DLT’s ESG aspects.

Open access
4 source records
cs.IR
cs.CL
cs.LG
Original source
Aug 21, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
GradientCoin: A Peer-to-Peer Decentralized Large Language Models

Yeqi Gao, Zhao Song, Junze Yin

Since 2008, after the proposal of a Bitcoin electronic cash system, Bitcoin has fundamentally changed the economic system over the last decade. Since 2022, large language models (LLMs) such as GPT have outperformed humans in many real-life tasks. However, these large language models have several practical issues. For example, the model is centralized and controlled by a specific unit. One weakness is that if that unit decides to shut down the model, it cannot be used anymore. The second weakness is the lack of guaranteed discrepancy behind this model, as certain dishonest units may design their own models and feed them unhealthy training data. In this work, we propose a purely theoretical design of a decentralized LLM that operates similarly to a Bitcoin cash system. However, implementing such a system might encounter various practical difficulties. Furthermore, this new system is unlikely to perform better than the standard Bitcoin system in economics. Therefore, the motivation for designing such a system is limited. It is likely that only two types of people would be interested in setting up a practical system for it: $\bullet$ Those who prefer to use a decentralized ChatGPT-like software. $\bullet$ Those who believe that the purpose of carbon-based life is to create silicon-based life, such as Optimus Prime in Transformers. The reason the second type of people may be interested is that it is possible that one day an AI system like this will awaken and become the next level of intelligence on this planet.

Open access
cs.LG
cs.CL
stat.ML
Original source
Aug 18, 2023·arXiv
0 cites
Onchain Sports Betting using UBET Automated Market Maker

Daniel Jiwoong Im, Alexander Kondratskiy, Vincent Harvey, Hsuan-Wei Fu

The paper underscores how decentralization in sports betting addresses the drawbacks of traditional centralized platforms, ensuring transparency, security, and lower fees. Non-custodial solutions empower bettors with ownership of funds, bypassing geographical restrictions. Decentralized platforms enhance security, privacy, and democratic decision-making. However, decentralized sports betting necessitates automated market makers (AMMs) for efficient liquidity provision. Existing AMMs like Uniswap lack alignment with fair odds, creating risks for liquidity providers. To mitigate this, the paper introduces UBET AMM (UAMM), utilizing smart contracts and algorithms to price sports odds fairly. It establishes an on-chain betting framework, detailing market creation, UAMM application, collateral liquidity pools, and experiments that exhibit positive outcomes. UAMM enhances decentralized sports betting by ensuring liquidity, decentralized pricing, and global accessibility, promoting trustless and efficient betting.

Open access
cs.CY
cs.LG
Original source
Aug 11, 2023·arXiv
1 cites
AI-Assisted Investigation of On-Chain Parameters: Risky Cryptocurrencies and Price Factors

Abdulrezzak Zekiye, Fadi Amroush, Semih Utku, Öznur Özkasap

Cryptocurrencies have become a popular and widely researched topic of interest in recent years for investors and scholars. In order to make informed investment decisions, it is essential to comprehend the factors that impact cryptocurrency prices and to identify risky cryptocurrencies. This paper focuses on analyzing historical data and using artificial intelligence algorithms on on-chain parameters to identify the factors affecting a cryptocurrency's price and to find risky cryptocurrencies. We conducted an analysis of historical cryptocurrencies' on-chain data and measured the correlation between the price and other parameters. In addition, we used clustering and classification in order to get a better understanding of a cryptocurrency and classify it as risky or not. The analysis revealed that a significant proportion of cryptocurrencies (39%) disappeared from the market, while only a small fraction (10%) survived for more than 1000 days. Our analysis revealed a significant negative correlation between cryptocurrency price and maximum and total supply, as well as a weak positive correlation between price and 24-hour trading volume. Moreover, we clustered cryptocurrencies into five distinct groups using their on-chain parameters, which provides investors with a more comprehensive understanding of a cryptocurrency when compared to those clustered with it. Finally, by implementing multiple classifiers to predict whether a cryptocurrency is risky or not, we obtained the best f1-score of 76% using K-Nearest Neighbor.

Open access
2 source records
q-fin.ST
cs.AI
cs.CR
Original source