Monks, CA, USA, Shafeeq Ur Rahaman, P. Sudheer, Samsung, CA, USA ¡ 5 authors
The rapidly evolving landscape of cryptocurrency markets presents unique challenges and opportunities. The significant daily variations in cryptocurrency exchange rates lead to substantial risks associated with investments in crypto assets. This study aims to forecast the prices of cryptocurrencies using advanced machine learning models. Among seven models that were tested for their prediction and validation efficiency, Neutral Networks performed the best with minimum error. Thus, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks were used for predicting future trends. LSTM model is well-suited for analyzing complex dependencies in financial data. Starting with historical data collection, data preprocessing, feature engineering, normalization and integrative binning, a comprehensive Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) was conducted on 50 cryptocurrencies. Top performers were identified based on criteria such as trading volume, market capitalization, and price trends. The LSTM model was implemented using Python to predict 90-day price movements data to check intricate patterns and relationships. Model performance was validated by performance metrics such as MAE and RMSE. The findings align with the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH) which suggests that cryptocurrency markets exhibit dynamic efficiency influenced by evolving market conditions and investor behavior. The study shows the potential of machine learning models in financial economics and their role in enhancing risk management strategies and investment decision-making processes.
Antonio Pellicani, Gianvito Pio, Michelangelo Ceci
Cryptocurrencies are virtual currencies that exploit cryptography to perform secure financial transactions. They gained widespread popularity in recent years due to their decentralized nature, (pseudo-)anonymity, and ability to facilitate cross-border transactions without the need for intermediaries. However, their price on the market exhibits a huge volatility, that makes them prone to market anomalies. Therefore, predicting anomalies in cryptocurrency time series can be considered an important task for financial institutions, traders, and investors, to maximize their profit or minimize losses. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for predicting anomalies in cryptocurrency time series by exploiting temporal correlations among different cryptocurrencies. Our approach, called CARROT, is based on the idea that groups of cryptocurrencies exhibit similar trends, possibly due to common influencing factors. CARROT analyzes the temporal correlation between different cryptocurrencies, and identifies clusters showing similar patterns that can be useful for gaining insights into future anomalies. Subsequently, CARROT exploits multiple (i.e., one for each cluster) multi-target LSTM models to predict anomalies. Our experiments, performed on a dataset of 17 cryptocurrencies, proved that CARROT outperforms single-target LSTM models of up to 20%, as well as other approaches based on neural networks, i.e., MLP and CNN, in terms of macro F1-score. Therefore, the proposed approach can be considered as a promising tool for predicting anomalies in cryptocurrency time series data and can potentially be used to improve risk management and trading strategies in the cryptocurrency market. ⢠Analysis of cryptocurrency trends. ⢠Clustering-based multi-target prediction of anomalies in time series. ⢠Consistent improvements achieved over the single-target counterpart.
Jan Ĺ Ăla, EvĹžen KoÄenda, Ladislav KriĹĄtoufek, JiĹĂ KukaÄka
Cryptocurrencies exhibit unique statistical and dynamic properties compared to those of traditional financial assets, making the study of their volatility crucial for portfolio managers and traders. We investigate the volatility connectedness dynamics of a representative set of eight major crypto assets. Methodologically, we decompose the measured volatility into positive and negative components and employ the time-varying parameters vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) framework to show distinct dynamics associated with market booms and downturns. Our findings indicate that crypto connectedness reflects important events and oscillates substantially while reaching lower limit values when compared to traditional financial markets. Periods of extremely high or low connectedness are clearly linked to specific events in the crypto market and macroeconomic or monetary history . Furthermore, existing asymmetry from good and bad volatility indicates that market downturns spill over substantially faster than comparable market surges. Overall, the connectedness dynamics are driven by a combination of both crypto (momentum, on-chain activity, off-chain activity) and legacy financial and economic (financial and economic uncertainty, and financial market performance) factors, while the asymmetry is more connected to the off-chain crypto activity and the combination of economic, financial, and monetary factors. In both the total connectedness and asymmetry modeling, these can serve as hands-on indicators to be further translated into specific portfolio re-balancing decisions, risk management, and regulatory frameworks.
Haider Ali, Muhammad Aftab, Faheem Aslam, Paulo Ferreira
Jump dynamics in financial markets exhibit significant complexity, often resulting in increased probabilities of subsequent jumps, akin to earthquake aftershocks. This study aims to understand these complexities within a multifractal framework. To do this, we employed the high-frequency intraday data from six major cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Dashcoin, EOS, and Ripple) and six major forex markets (Euro, British pound, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen) between 4 August 2019 and 4 October 2023, at 5 min intervals. We began by extracting daily jumps from realized volatility using a MinRV-based approach and then applying Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) to those jumps to explore their multifractal characteristics. The results of the MFDFAâespecially the fluctuation function, the varying Hurst exponent, and the Renyi exponentâconfirm that all of these jump series exhibit significant multifractal properties. However, the range of the Hurst exponent values indicates that Dashcoin has the highest and Litecoin has the lowest multifractal strength. Moreover, all of the jump series show significant persistent behavior and a positive autocorrelation, indicating a higher probability of a positive/negative jump being followed by another positive/negative jump. Additionally, the findings of rolling-window MFDFA with a window length of 250 days reveal persistent behavior most of the time. These findings are useful for market participants, investors, and policymakers in developing portfolio diversification strategies and making important investment decisions, and they could enhance market efficiency and stability.
Abstract Within the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH) framework, this study explores the dynamic impact of cryptocurrency heists on Bitcoin's market efficiency. By analysing Bitcoin's oneâminute price data, we calculate permutation entropy to assess market disorder and employ the complexityâentropy causality plane to quantify structural changes in the market. The analysis focuses on the market efficiency changes the day before, the day of, and the day after a heist, revealing that heists significantly disrupt market efficiency. Specifically, on the day of and following a heist, we observe a marked decrease in permutation entropy alongside a significant increase in complexity, indicating a notable decline in market efficiency. Further analysis shows that when a heist targets a specific token, this token draws investor attention, causing a less severe drop in Bitcoin's market efficiency, while the affected token's market efficiency drops more dramatically. These findings suggest that different token markets react differently to heists, and investors should consider adjusting their strategies to respond to these changes. For policymakers, the results highlight the critical need to enhance market stability and security through informed policy measures to mitigate the impact of such disruptive events.
Research background: The research employs the Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation of returns (CSAD) model, augmented with modifications by Chiang and Zheng (2010) to address asymmetric investor behavior, facilitating the detection of herding behavior. Additionally, the study leverages Quantile Regression (QR), demonstrated by Barnes and Hughes (2002) to effectively capture extreme values in financial data with fat tails or skewed distributions. This approach is particularly relevant in the context of the volatile cryptocurrency market, allowing for the analysis of outliers and the assessment of the magnitude of return impacts using T-stat and Quantile Process Estimates. Purpose of the article: This study primarily centers its empirical analysis on identifying market-wide herding behavior (Henker et al., 2006) within the cryptocurrency market, spanning from January 1, 2016, to February 1, 2019, juxtaposed with the period from January 1, 2019, to January 7, 2022. The selected time frames were chosen to evaluate potential shifts in herding dynamics within this market, particularly during its phases of rapid expansion and subsequent stagnation. Methods: The Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) methodology, as proposed by Chiang and Zheng (2010), was employed for herding detection, alongside the incorporation of dummy variables to discern the market conditions under which herding occurs. Herding behavior manifests when dispersion diminishes, or its increase is less than proportionate to market returns, indicating an inverse correlation between market returns and dispersion in the presence of herding. Additionally, CSAD estimation was conducted utilizing quantile regression to encompass a broader range of quantiles, facilitating the identification of herding tendencies across various return magnitudes. To delve further into investor behavior, Bitcoin was utilized as an illustrative example, elucidating investor reactions to market bubbles through the application of the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter. Findings & value added: The findings reveal instances of herding behavior during downward market movements and at higher return levels preceding 2019. However, post-2019, herding is observed during upward market movements and at medium to higher return levels. This study presents compelling evidence of herding phenomena coinciding with the bursting of bubbles, particularly concerning Bitcoin. The findings provide a deeper understanding of how herding manifests differently across distinct market conditions and timeframes, offering actionable insights for investors and policymakers navigating the volatile cryptocurrency landscape. Additionally, by highlighting the correlation between herding behavior and market bubbles, particularly in the context of Bitcoin, this study contributes to the broader discourse on cryptocurrency market dynamics.
This paper examines the effect of investor attention on the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns and trading activities. We find that cryptocurrencies associated with higher abnormal Google search volume subsequently exhibit higher returns, higher volatility, and higher trading volume. The results are robust to alternative sample periods and alternative search keywords, providing concrete support to the attention-induced price pressure hypothesis and consistent with prior studies on the equity market. The effect is more pronounced among larger cryptocurrencies. Only a partial reversal after the initial return increase is observed, implying that investor attention permanently impacts cryptocurrency prices.
This work aims to contribute to a deeper understanding of cryptocurrencies, which have emerged as a unique form within the financial market. While there are numerous cryptocurrencies available, most individuals are only familiar with Bitcoin. This knowledge gap and the lack of literature on the subject motivated the present study to shed light on the key characteristics of cryptocurrencies, along with their advantages and disadvantages. Additionally, we seek to investigate the integration of cryptocurrencies within the financial market by applying a dynamic equicorrelation model. The analysis covers ten cryptocurrencies from June 2nd, 2016 to May 25th, 2021. Through the implementation of the dynamic equicorrelation model, we have reached the conclusion that the degree of integration among cryptocurrencies primarily depends on factors such as trading volume, global stock index performance, energy price fluctuations, gold price movements, financial stress index levels, and the index of US implied volatility.
Muhammad Mahmudul Karim, Mohamed Eskandar Shah Mohd Rasid, Abu Hanifa Md. Noman, Larisa Yarovaya
This paper aims to analyze the return-volatility relationship of Bitcoin and Ethereum across different return frequencies and all conditional quantiles of implied volatility, based on a unique 6.5 million observations. We employ the newly constructed Model-Free Implied Volatility (MFIV) of Bitcoin (BitVol) and Ethereum (EthVol) and use an asymmetric Quantile Regression Model (QRM) to capture the intraday asymmetric return-volatility relationship at different quantiles of the distribution of the dependent variable. Our findings show that the estimated coefficient using daily data is significant only at medium- to high-volatility regimes, while the estimated coefficients using high-frequency data are highly significant across all volatility regimes. Moreover, our results indicate that the asymmetry varies across frequencies and quantiles, with weak asymmetric effects at low quantiles and high frequencies, and strong asymmetric effects at high quantiles and low frequencies. This study provides new insight, especially for high-frequency traders. ⢠We analyze 6.5 million observations to unveil intraday asymmetric return-volatility dynamics in Bitcoin and Ethereum. ⢠The Model-Free Implied Volatility, Quantile Regression Model, and Wavelet Coherence are employed. ⢠We found that asymmetry in these relationships intensifies at lower frequencies and high quantiles. ⢠Findings contribute to cryptocurrency literature using high-frequency data across different intervals.
Mar Grande, F. Borondo, Juan Carlos Losada, J. Borondo
Pairs trading is a short-term speculation trading strategy based on matching a long position with a short position in two assets in the hope that their prices will return to their historical equilibrium. In this paper, we focus on identifying opportunities where mean reversion will happen quickly, as the commission costs associated with keeping the positions open for an extended period of time can eliminate excess returns. To this end, we propose the use of the local Hurst exponent as a signal to open trades in the cryptocurrencies market. We conduct a natural experiment to show that the spread of pairs with anti-persistent values of Hurst revert to their mean significantly faster. Next, we verify that this effect is universal across pairs with different levels of co-movement. Finally, we back-test several pairs trading strategies that include H<0.5 as an indicator and check that all of them result in profits. Hence, we conclude that the Hurst exponent represents a meaningful indicator to detect pairs trading opportunities in the cryptocurrencies market.
Rasoul Amirzadeh, Dhananjay Thiruvady, Asef Nazari, Mong Shan Ee
Abstract Understanding the relationships between cryptocurrencies is important for making informed investment decisions in this financial market. Our study utilises Bayesian networks to examine the causal interrelationships among six major cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Binance Coin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Tether. Beyond understanding the connectedness, we also investigate whether these relationships evolve over time. This understanding is crucial for developing profitable investment strategies and forecasting methods. Therefore, we introduce an approach to investigate the dynamic nature of these relationships. Our observations reveal that Tether, a stablecoin, behaves distinctly compared to mining-based cryptocurrencies and stands isolated from the others. Furthermore, our findings indicate that Bitcoin and Ethereum significantly influence the price fluctuations of the other coins, except for Tether. This highlights their key roles in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Additionally, we conduct diagnostic analyses on constructed Bayesian networks, emphasising that cryptocurrencies generally follow the same market direction as extra evidence for interconnectedness. Moreover, our approach reveals the dynamic and evolving nature of these relationships over time, offering insights into the ever-changing dynamics of the cryptocurrency market.
The study investigates the nonlinear contagion, tail dependence, and Granger causality relations with TAR-TR-GARCHâcopula causality methods for daily Bitcoin, Fintech, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions in addition to examining these series for entropy, long-range dependence, fractionality, complexity, chaos, and nonlinearity with a dataset spanning from 25 June 2012 to 22 June 2024. Empirical results from Shannon, RĂŠnyi, and Tsallis entropy measures; KolmogorovâSinai complexity; HurstâMandelbrot and Loâs R/S tests; and Phillipsâ and Geweke and Porter-Hudakâs fractionality tests confirm the presence of entropy, complexity, fractionality, and long-range dependence. Further, the largest Lyapunov exponents and Hurst exponents confirm chaos across all series. The BDS test confirms nonlinearity, and ARCH-type heteroskedasticity test results support the basis for the use of novel TAR-TR-GARCHâcopula causality. The model estimation results indicate moderate to strong levels of positive and asymmetric tail dependence and contagion under distinct regimes. The novel method captures nonlinear causality dynamics from Bitcoin and Fintech to energy consumption and CO2 emissions as well as causality from energy consumption to CO2 emissions and bidirectional feedback between Bitcoin and Fintech. These findings underscore the need to take the chaotic and complex dynamics seriously in policy and decision formulation and the necessity of eco-friendly technologies for Bitcoin and Fintech.
We analyze the token transfer network on Ethereum, focusing on accounts associated with Alameda Research, a cryptocurrency trading firm implicated in the misuse of FTX customer funds. Using a multi-token network representation, we examine node centralities and the network backbone to identify critical accounts, tokens, and activity groups. The temporal evolution of Alameda accounts reveals shifts in token accumulation and distribution patterns leading up to its bankruptcy in November 2022. Through network analysis, our work offers insights into the activities and dynamics that shape the DeFi ecosystem.
Abstract Systematic risks in cryptocurrency markets have recently increased and have been gaining a rising number of connections with economics and financial markets; however, in this area, climate shocks could be a new kind of impact factor. In this paper, a spillover network based on a time-varying parametric-vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model is constructed to measure overall cryptocurrency market extreme risks. Based on this, a second spillover network is proposed to assess the intensity of risk spillovers between extreme risks of cryptocurrency markets and uncertainties in climate conditions, economic policy, and global financial markets. The results show that extreme risks in cryptocurrency markets are highly sensitive to climate shocks, whereas uncertainties in the global financial market are the main transmitters. Dynamically, each spillover network is highly sensitive to emergent global extreme events, with a surge in overall risk exposure and risk spillovers between submarkets. Full consideration of overall market connectivity, including climate shocks, will provide a solid foundation for risk management in cryptocurrency markets.
The financial markets experienced a thrilling saga between 2020 and 2023, characterised by a series of unprecedented events and captivating dynamics that set the stage for a compelling exploration of the interaction between bitcoin prices and the S&P 500 Index. This study systematically examines the correlation between bitcoin prices and the S&P 500 Index using the Yahoo Finance dataset over a 48-month period. Using the extensive Yahoo Finance dataset and the analytical capabilities of R Statistics & R Studio, the present research covers a comprehensive period of 48 months (2020-2023). The study identifies a robust positive correlation, quantified by a correlation coefficient of 0.7726, indicating a significant alignment between bitcoin price movements and the S&P 500 index. Monthly price variables obtained from an open-source repository provide a comprehensive overview of the relative dynamics of these financial assets. This analysis provides valuable insights into the current behaviour of bitcoin and the S&P 500 index, as well as concise observations on the dynamics of their correlation.
Roland Akuoko-Sarpong, Stephen Tawiah Gyasi, Hannah Affram
The creation of cryptocurrencies has signified many consequences for financial markets of the traditional kind and their effectiveness. This research seeks to explore the effects of cryptocurrencies on a number of the other traditional markets in aspects of price discovery, volatility, interdependence, and information transmission. Event study analysis of everyday price changes and using multivariate cointegration analysis to cryptocurrencies and the evidence is that the cryptocurrencies are inefficient as characterized by irrational behavior, bubbles, and erratically fluctuating volatilities. However, they affect a range of currency, commodity, and stock market indexes by showing return and volatility spillover effects suggesting information flowing from one market to another. Alnet, cryptocurrency markets seem inefficient on their own but over time enhance the efficiency of linked traditional markets through participation and connectivity of global financial systems. The study contributes valuable insights into the evolving nature of financial markets in the digital era through discussions on market structure, behavioral factors, and policy implications.
Asim Ghosh, Soumyajyoti Biswas, Bikas K. Chakrabarti
We study the fluctuations, particularly the inequality of fluctuations, in cryptocurrency prices over the last ten years. We calculate the inequality in the price fluctuations through different measures, such as the Gini and Kolkata indices, and also the $Q$ factor (given by the ratio between the highest value and the average value) of these fluctuations. We compare the results with the equivalent quantities in some of the more prominent national currencies and see that while the fluctuations (or inequalities in such fluctuations) for cryptocurrencies were initially significantly higher than national currencies, over time the fluctuation levels of cryptocurrencies tend towards the levels characteristic of national currencies. We also compare similar quantities for a few prominent stock prices.
In the past years, the widespread diffusion of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the finance domain transformed different services, with particular attention to the stock market. Although different AI-based approaches have been proposed for stock forecasting, they are focused on news content or sentiment without considering fundamental features and vice versa. In turn, other approaches rely on handmade rules or ones based on technical indicators for providing advice without considering contextual information that can strongly affect the stock market. In this paper, we propose an Advisor Neural Network framework using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based Informative Stock Analysis for Daily investment Advice. Specifically, the forecasting unit relies on a LSTM-based model, which combines technical indicators, contextual information, and financial data for stock forecasting. Successively, the advice unit provides next-day advice based on predicted information in conjunction with the proposed Heuristic Stocks Selection algorithm. This framework has been evaluated on the Stock and Cryptocurrencies markets, considering a subset of 417 stocks and 67 cryptocurrencies over three years, respectively. We compared the proposed framework with several state-of-the-art approaches, showing how it outperforms the baseline in both markets. Furthermore, we achieved a financial gain greater than 41%, despite the downward trend of the NASDAQ market in the quarter under review, and we obtained a 39.38% return on investment for the Cryptocurrencies market.
Abstract This paper investigates the dynamic relationships between the volatility of Bitcoin and major Indian stock market indices. Employing a dynamic conditional correlationâgeneralized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (DCCâGARCH) model, we explore how volatility shocks and information flow influence the correlations between these asset classes. Our findings reveal a key characteristic: volatility spillovers tend to be shortâlived, indicated by a relatively low DCCâGARCH parameter (dcca1). This suggests that while a surge in volatility in one market might lead to a temporary increase in correlation with the other, this heightened correlation is unlikely to persist for extended periods. However, the model also highlights a high DCCâGARCH parameter (dccb1), signifying that the correlations themselves are responsive to new information. This implies that volatility linkages can adjust rapidly in response to market events or economic data releases. To enhance accessibility for a broad audience, we translate these findings into economic intuitions. We illustrate how the model can be interpreted through realâworld examples, such as the impact of sudden policy changes in India or global market flash crashes. By understanding the shortâlived nature of volatility spillovers and the responsiveness of correlations, investors in the Indian markets can make more informed decisions when considering the potential influence of Bitcoin's volatility while contributing to a deeper understanding of the dynamic interactions between cryptocurrency and traditional financial markets in the Indian context.
Arfan Shahzad, Yasmin Anwar, Muhammad Arif Nadeem, Waqas Shair
The advancement in technologies has changed the picture of todayâs economy. Cryptocurrency is the most trending currency nowadays. The form of cryptocurrency that is most commonly used in trading is Bitcoin. Since 2016, continuous fluctuations have been observed in the price of Bitcoin. The objective of the current study is to classify the strong predictor of Bitcoinâs price fluctuations and the associations of all these variables with each other. The price of several variables is selected as independent variables, including oil, VIX index, and US dollars. The price values for all study variables are collected for one year daily. The study findings indicated that lag 2 in the VAR model is the optimum lag for the model using HQIC and SBIC criteria, so todayâs price depends on the previous two daysâ price of independent variables. The correlation results indicated that the previous two-day price of EURO predicts the BTCâs todayâs price. A negative association is found between VIX and BTC. It is indicated that a 1 percent increase in the price of the VIX index will lead to the 60 decreases in BTCâs today price. The study also showed that it is not the price of BTC that forecasts todayâs worth of BTC, but it is the prices of VIX, euro, and oil that can predict todayâs price of BTC.
This article investigates the time-series properties of cryptocurrency returns and compares them with currency and commodity returns. We perform and analyze the mean reversion, normality, unit root, high and low returns, correlation, Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) [2,2], Autoregressive (AR) [5], and long-run components in the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) [1,1] estimates. We also perform regression analyses to evaluate two possible behavioral biases: familiarity and disposition effect. Our time series analysis documents that cryptocurrencies are neither currencies nor commodities. We also show that adding cryptocurrency to a portfolio increases market efficiency and uncertainty. We also document that cryptocurrency investors exhibit the same familiarity and disposition effect biases as commodity and currency investors. Overall, we conclude that investors in cryptocurrencies tend to underestimate risk and misestimate future prices, as they do in commodity and currency markets. This study makes at least three contributions to the literature. First, we evaluate whether cryptocurrencies tend to hedge or financialization. Second, our analysis includes both univariate and portfolio dimensions. Third, this is a pioneering study on using behavioral bias analysis to determine whether a cryptocurrency is a commodity or a currency.
We analyzed Bitcoinâs cyclical patterns used by the Markov regime-switching model and explored the impacts of inflation and the US Dollar Index on Bitcoinâs cyclicality. The results showed Bitcoinâs cyclical pattern, the effects of the US dollar index and VIX on Bitcoinâs cyclical pattern, and how the US dollar index and VIX affect BTCâs structural changes in Bitcoin.
ÎĎνĎĎινĎÎŻÎ˝ÎżĎ ÎκίΝΝιĎ, Maria Tantoula, Manolis Tzagarakis
Abstract We analyze properties identified in the price volatility of Bitcoin and some of the leading cryptocurrencies namely Litecoin, Ripple, and Ethereum. We employ Heterogeneous Autoregressive models (HAR) in both a univariate and multivariate level of analysis. First, the significance of heterogeneity and jumps is examined, considering the ability of several univariate HAR models, to predict realized volatility of cryptocurrencies. Second, we examine the relevance of realized volatility jumps and covariances in the transmission of volatility spillovers among cryptocurrencies. We perform a comparative spillover analysis of the multivariate HAR models in two versions, considering variances only and covariances as well. Our results indicate that covariances and jumps inclusion lead to an increase in spillovers. The time-varying spillover analysis indicates higher dependency between Bitcoin and the other cryptocurrencies mostly at short frequencies.
This study examined the relation between consumer confidence and cryptocurrency excess returns using a three-factor model of market, size and momentum. We analysed a dataset comprising 3318 cryptocurrencies from 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2022 based on the CoinMarketCap website. Results indicate a significant negative relation between the United States Consumer Confidence Index and cryptocurrency excess returns. The findings were reinforced based on robustness tests. This study contributes to consumer behaviour research and financial management within the cryptocurrency market. It also provides valuable insights for investors to strengthen their investment portfolios and for relevant authorities seeking to formulate effective policies for monitoring the cryptocurrency market.