Blockchain Papers

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1,505 papersLast indexed Aug 31, 2026
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Jun 26, 2024·Finance research letters
26 cites
Financial contagion in cryptocurrency exchanges: Evidence from the FTT collapse

Luca Galati, Alexander Webb, Robert I. Webb

To what extent does the collapse of a digital token spread contagion across cryptocurrency markets? How do markets incorporate information in this turbulent setting? We examine contagion effects across major digital exchanges during the collapse of the FTX exchange and its token, FTT. We find evidence of contagion across crypto exchanges. We also examine the information cascade effects of other crypto assets on FTX when nearly all withdrawals were prohibited. We find abnormal returns for major assets, indicating a flight to safety from less to more authoritative digital assets. The implications for traders, exchanges, and policymakers are discussed.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Original source
Jun 24, 2024·Politická ekonomie
3 cites
Price Spillovers from Decentralized Finance to CEE Stock Markets

Ngô Thái Hưng

Decentralized finance (DeFi) is a brand-new disruptive procedure that encourages the use of blockchain technology for developing and distributing a variety of financial goods and services. This study investigates the time-varying and asymmetric interplay between DeFi and CEE stock returns, concentrated around the COVID-19 outbreak and the Russo-Ukrainian conflict. While the associations between other cryptocurrencies and conventional assets have been studied, DeFi assets have not. For this purpose, we employ the multivariate DECO-GARCH model and cross-quantilogram framework. The results reveal a positive equicorrelation between DeFi and CEE stock market returns. Notably, the influence of DeFi on CEE stock markets is greater during the COVID-19 outbreak and the Russo-Ukrainian conflict than in the other periods. Furthermore, the cross-quantilogram estimations uncover that CEE stock markets depend less on the DeFi market at longer lag lengths. This means that the diversification benefits of DeFi against CEE stock market returns are more important for long-run investment horizons. In general, our research offers a new understanding of dependence structures, which might help investors make better investment decisions and direct their trading strategies.

Open access
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Original source
Jun 21, 2024·Modern Finance
5 cites
Cryptocurrency volatility and Egyptian stock market indexes: A note

Tarek Ibrahim Eldomiaty, Nada Khaled

This paper examines the effect of the riskiness of the top four cryptocurrencies on the riskiness of stock market indexes in Egypt, being recognized as a developing country. The analysis uses daily data on cryptocurrencies and the three stock market indexes covering January 2020 to January 2023. The risk is measured using the holding period Value at Risk (VaR). The GMM results show that (a) cryptocurrency volatility is negatively associated with the volatility of stock market indexes. That is, the higher the investors’ interest in trading cryptocurrencies, the lower the volatility of stock market indexes as investors trade stocks less frequently, (b) cryptocurrencies can provide hedge and diversification benefits, and (c) the relationship between volatilities of cryptocurrencies and stock market indexes varies across indexes, therefore, contingent.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
Jun 19, 2024·Proceedings of the Fifteenth ACM Conference on Data and Application Security and Privacy
3 cites
SolRPDS: A Dataset for Analyzing Rug Pulls in Solana Decentralized Finance

Abdulrahman Alhaidari, Bhavani Kalal, Balaji Palanisamy, Shamik Sural

Rug pulls in Solana have caused significant damage to users interacting with Decentralized Finance (DeFi). A rug pull occurs when developers exploit users' trust and drain liquidity from token pools on Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs), leaving users with worthless tokens. Although rug pulls in Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain (BSC) have gained attention recently, analysis of rug pulls in Solana remains largely under-explored. In this paper, we introduce SolRPDS (Solana Rug Pull Dataset), the first public rug pull dataset derived from Solana's transactions. We examine approximately four years of DeFi data (2021-2024) that covers suspected and confirmed tokens exhibiting rug pull patterns. The dataset, derived from 3.69 billion transactions, consists of 62,895 suspicious liquidity pools. The data is annotated for inactivity states, which is a key indicator, and includes several detailed liquidity activities such as additions, removals, and last interaction as well as other attributes such as inactivity periods and withdrawn token amounts, to help identify suspicious behavior. Our preliminary analysis reveals clear distinctions between legitimate and fraudulent liquidity pools and we found that 22,195 tokens in the dataset exhibit rug pull patterns during the examined period. SolRPDS can support a wide range of future research on rug pulls including the development of data-driven and heuristic-based solutions for real-time rug pull detection and mitigation.

Open access
3 source records
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
Jun 11, 2024·Financial Innovation
8 cites
Investor sentiment and the holiday effect in the cryptocurrency market: evidence from China

Pengcheng Zhang, Kunpeng Xu, Jian Huang, Jiayin Qi

Abstract This study employs a fixed-effects model to investigate the holiday effect in the cryptocurrency market, using trading data for the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on Coinmarketcap.com from January 1, 2017 to July 1, 2022. The results indicate that returns on cryptocurrencies increase significantly during Chinese holiday periods. Additionally, we use textual analysis to construct an investor sentiment indicator and find that positive investor sentiment boosts cryptocurrency market returns. However, when positive investor sentiment prevails in the cryptocurrency market, the holiday effect weakens, implying that positive investor sentiment attenuates the holiday effect. Robustness tests based on the Bitcoin market generate consistent results. Moreover, this study explores the mechanisms underlying the cryptocurrency holiday effect and examines the impact of epidemic transmission risk and heterogeneity characteristics on this phenomenon. These findings offer novel insights into the impact of Chinese statutory holidays on the cryptocurrency market and illuminate the role of investor sentiment in this market.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
Original source
Jun 8, 2024·arXiv (Cornell University)
0 cites
SAMM: Sharded Automated Market Maker

Hongyin Chen, Amit Vaisman, Ittay Eyal

Automated Market Makers (AMMs) are a cornerstone of decentralized finance. They are smart contracts (stateful programs) running on blockchains. They enable virtual token exchange: traders swap tokens with the AMM for a fee, while liquidity providers supply liquidity and receive these fees. Demand for AMMs is growing rapidly, but our experiment-based estimates show that current architectures cannot meet the projected demand by 2029. This is because the execution of existing AMMs is non-parallelizable. We present SAMM, an AMM comprising multiple shards. All shards are AMMs running on the same chain, but their independence enables parallel execution. The security of SAMM, unlike in classical sharding solutions, relies on incentive compatibility. Therefore, SAMM introduces a novel fee design. Through analysis of Subgame-Perfect Nash Equilibria (SPNE), we show that SAMM incentivizes the desired behavior: liquidity providers balance liquidity among all shards, overcoming destabilization attacks, and trades are evenly distributed. We validate our game-theoretic analysis with a simulation using real-world data. We evaluate SAMM by implementing and deploying it on local testnets of the Sui and Solana blockchains. To our knowledge, this is the first quantification of high-demand-contract performance. SAMM improves throughput by 5x and 16x, respectively, potentially more with better parallelization of the underlying blockchains. It is directly deployable, mitigating the upcoming scaling bottleneck.

Open access
2 source records
cs.DC
cs.CR
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
Jun 1, 2024·Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business
0 cites
Cryptocurrencies Volatility: Empirical Evidence

Avraham Turgeman, Octavian Jude

Abstract Cryptocurrencies have rapidly become popular as digital assets, and as the market evolves, it is of great importance to understand their volatility and risk behavior. They present specific challenges and opportunities given that are operating within a decentralized and fast-changing ecosystem. Thus, their volatility affects risk management, investment strategies, and market stability. Cryptocurrency volatility can create both opportunities and risks. While it can provide substantial returns, it also presents challenges in terms of investment strategy, regulatory frameworks, business operations, and economic stability. As the cryptocurrency market matures, it’s likely that solutions to manage volatility will evolve, but it remains a key concern for participants in the ecosystem. In this respect, the aim of the paper is to examine the volatility behavior of the main cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin), for a recent period, i.e. from June 2018 to June 2023. Using both traditional and advanced GARCH models, the results show that these cryptocurrencies experience periods of high and low volatility, but there is no significant asymmetry effect in their responses. This suggests a balanced risk-return profile for investors. Furthermore, there is no evidence for risk premium within the sample, that is no link between risk and return. Additionally, past volatility has a greater impact on current volatility than new information, since GARCH coefficients are significantly higher than the ARCH coefficients. These insights can help investors, policymakers, and researchers to manage the cryptocurrency markets more effectively.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
May 31, 2024·Advances in logistics, operations, and management science book series
2 cites
Information Asymmetry and Greenwashing in the Green Bond Market

Sreelekshmi Geetha, Nisha Sheen, Ajithakumari Vijayappan Nair Biju

Disclosure and transparency are two critical components in the green financing sector, especially the green bond segment. Compared to green instruments like green credit, green bond issuances facilitate information dissemination and reduce information asymmetry. Still, concerns stemming from numerous macro-level and firm-level factors impede market advancement. Investors are restrained from green bond financing owing to a fear of potential greenwashing. The nascency of the market, resulting in inadequate disclosure regimes and measurement challenges, exacerbates the problem. Can we find a solution to tackle the dilemma of greenwashing and information asymmetry using emerging, sophisticated technologies? Assessing the major theoretical underpinnings, this chapter presents a comprehensive landscape of how technologies like distributed ledger technologies, blockchain, the internet of things, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and the like fit into the green debt market. While following a theoretical approach, collating research, and the green bond market developments, the authors initiate an investigation into how technology can manage disclosure biases. The assessment signifies the role of technology, specifically FinTech, blockchain, and AI technologies, in spotting greenwashing and information asymmetry.

Open access
Sustainable Finance and Green Bonds
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Original source
May 28, 2024·The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
1 cites
Time-varying expected returns, conditional skewness and Bitcoin return predictability

David Atance, Gregorio Serna

We employ a GARCH-type model to jointly estimate returns, conditional variance and skewness and show that conditional skewness outperforms sample skewness and conditional and sample variance in predicting future Bitcoin returns. Interestingly, the results show that the relationship between conditional skewness and future Bitcoin returns is different depending on the sample period. In the first subsample (2018–2020), a period of relative calm in the Bitcoin market, the relationship is negative, which is in line with that found in the literature. However, in the second subsample (2021–2022), a period of major turmoil in the Bitcoin market, the relationship is positive, which is consistent with that found in previous papers on the relationship between conditional market skewness and future index returns during crisis periods. Based on these results, a dynamic buy and sell strategy of buying or selling Bitcoin based on the estimated conditional skewness is proposed. This dynamic strategy outperforms a static buy-and-hold strategy. The profitability of this strategy can be viewed as the reward that investors demand for bearing the risk associated with the changing conditions in the cryptocurrency market that generate time-varying expected returns.

Open access
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Original source
May 24, 2024·Journal of Banking & Finance
21 cites
Exchange market share, market makers, and murky behavior: The impact of no-fee trading on cryptocurrency market quality

Luca Galati

This study examines the impact of zero fees on market quality. This issue is examined using a natural experiment in Bitcoin provided by the Binance exchange, which eliminated maker–taker trading fees for market participants in July 2022. I find that although zero fees increase investors’ willingness to trade, thereby prima facie increasing liquidity, their elimination encourages market makers to widen the bid–ask spread and provide a shallower market depth, which in turn reduces liquidity. Liquidity providers realize gains at the expense of liquidity takers, suggesting the emergence of new potential forms of unethical financial market conduct. Notably, despite the removal of trading fees, total transaction costs increased for customers. These outcomes, coupled with the boost in exchange market share, raise concerns about price integrity and investors’ protection in the highly unregulated crypto environment, in turn implying that the elimination of maker–taker fees is harmful to the market.

Open access
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Original source
May 21, 2024·Financial Innovation
7 cites
On the robust drivers of cryptocurrency liquidity: the case of Bitcoin

Walid M.A. Ahmed

Abstract This study aims to identify the factors that robustly contribute to Bitcoin liquidity, employing a rich range of potential determinants that represent unique characteristics of the cryptocurrency industry, investor attention, macroeconomic fundamentals, and global stress and uncertainty. To construct liquidity metrics, we compile 60-min high-frequency data on the low, high, opening, and closing exchange rates of Bitcoin against the US dollar. Our empirical investigation is based on the extreme bounds analysis (EBA), which can resolve model uncertainty issues. The results of Leamer’s version of the EBA suggest that the realized volatility of Bitcoin is the sole variable relevant to explaining liquidity. With the Sala-i-Martin’s variant of EBA, however, four more variables, (viz. Bitcoin’s negative returns, trading volume, hash rates, and Google search volume) are also labeled as robust determinants. Accordingly, our evidence confirms that Bitcoin-specific factors and developments, rather than global macroeconomic and financial variables, matter for explaining its liquidity. The findings are largely insensitive to our proxy of liquidity and to the estimation method used.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
May 18, 2024·Electronic Markets
40 cites
Centralized exchanges vs. decentralized exchanges in cryptocurrency markets: A systematic literature review

Sascha Hägele

Abstract Research on cryptocurrency exchanges, consisting of both centralized exchanges (CEXs) and decentralized exchanges (DEXs), has seen a significant increase in contributions in recent years, driven by growing interest in the conceptual design of cryptocurrency markets. Through a comprehensive review of literature published between January 2019 and September 2023, I identify and analyze different dimensions of the ongoing CEX vs. DEX debate. While DEXs emphasize decentralization, user control, and resistance to censorship, CEXs offer higher liquidity, advanced trading features, and a more established track record. Regulatory challenges, such as Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) compliance, also feature prominently in the literature and influence the choice of exchange for both traders and policymakers. In addition, I observe a growing interest in the design of pricing functions for CEXs and DEXs, particularly in the area of automated market makers (AMMs). Finally, based on my findings, I outline future research opportunities in this context and derive research gaps as well as recommended actions for practitioners.

Open access
2 source records
Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
May 12, 2024·Journal of risk and financial management
24 cites
Encoder–Decoder Based LSTM and GRU Architectures for Stocks and Cryptocurrency Prediction

Joy Dip Das, Ruppa K. Thulasiram, Christopher J. Henry, A. Thavaneswaran

This work addresses the intricate task of predicting the prices of diverse financial assets, including stocks, indices, and cryptocurrencies, each exhibiting distinct characteristics and behaviors under varied market conditions. To tackle the challenge effectively, novel encoder–decoder architectures, AE-LSTM and AE-GRU, integrating the encoder–decoder principle with LSTM and GRU, are designed. The experimentation involves multiple activation functions and hyperparameter tuning. With extensive experimentation and enhancements applied to AE-LSTM, the proposed AE-GRU architecture still demonstrates significant superiority in forecasting the annual prices of volatile financial assets from the multiple sectors mentioned above. Thus, the novel AE-GRU architecture emerges as a superior choice for price prediction across diverse sectors and fluctuating volatile market scenarios by extracting important non-linear features of financial data and retaining the long-term context from past observations.

Open access
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Original source
May 11, 2024·Risks
9 cites
Exploring Entropy-Based Portfolio Strategies: Empirical Analysis and Cryptocurrency Impact

Nicolò Giunta, Giuseppe Orlando, Alessandra Carleo, Jacopo Maria Ricci

This study addresses market concentration among major corporations, highlighting the utility of relative entropy for understanding diversification strategies. It introduces entropic value at risk (EVaR) as a coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound to the conditional value at risk (CVaR), and explores its generalization, relativistic value at risk (RLVaR), rooted in Kaniadakis entropy. Through extensive empirical analysis on both developed (i.e., S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx 50) and developing markets (i.e., BIST 100 and Bovespa), the study evaluates entropy-based criteria in portfolio selection, investigates model behavior across different market types, and assesses the impact of cryptocurrency introduction on portfolio performance and diversification. The key finding indicates that entropy measures effectively identify optimal portfolios, particularly in scenarios of heightened risk and increased concentration, crucial for mitigating negative net performances during low returns or high turnover. Bitcoin is primarily used for diversification and performance enhancement in the BIST 100 index, while its allocation in other markets remains minimal or non-existent, confirming the extreme concentration observed in stock markets dominated by a few leading stocks.

Open access
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
May 9, 2024·Frontiers in Big Data
5 cites
Forecasting cryptocurrency's buy signal with a bagged tree learning approach to enhance purchase decisions

Raed Alsini, Qasem Abu Al‐Haija, Abdulaziz A. Alsulami, Badraddin Alturki · 8 authors

Introduction: The cryptocurrency market is captivating the attention of both retail and institutional investors. While this highly volatile market offers investors substantial profit opportunities, it also entails risks due to its sensitivity to speculative news and the erratic behavior of major investors, both of which can provoke unexpected price fluctuations. Methods: In this study, we contend that extreme and sudden price changes and atypical patterns might compromise the performance of technical signals utilized as the basis for feature extraction in a machine learning-based trading system by either augmenting or diminishing the model's generalization capability. To address this issue, this research uses a bagged tree (BT) model to forecast the buy signal for the cryptocurrency market. To achieve this, traders must acquire knowledge about the cryptocurrency market and modify their strategies accordingly. Results and discussion: To make an informed decision, we depended on the most prevalently utilized oscillators, namely, the buy signal in the cryptocurrency market, comprising the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bollinger Bands (BB), and the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicator. Also, the research evaluates how accurately a model can predict the performance of different cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and Binance Coin (BNB). Furthermore, the efficacy of the most popular machine learning model in precisely forecasting outcomes within the cryptocurrency market is examined. Notably, predicting buy signal values using a BT model provides promising results.

Open access
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
May 8, 2024·Journal of risk and financial management
9 cites
Price Delay and Market Efficiency of Cryptocurrencies: The Impact of Liquidity and Volatility during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Barbara Abou Tanos, Georges Badr

The rise of cryptocurrencies as alternative financial investments, with potential safe-haven and hedging properties, highlights the need to examine their market efficiency. This study is the first to investigate the combined impact of liquidity and volatility features of cryptocurrencies on their price delays. Using a wide spectrum of cryptocurrencies, we investigate whether the COVID-19 outbreak has affected market efficiency by studying price delays to market information. We find that as liquidity increases and volatility decreases, cryptocurrencies demonstrate stronger market efficiency. Additionally, we show that price delay differences during the COVID-19 outbreak increase with higher levels of illiquidity, particularly for highly volatile quintiles. We suggest that perceived risks and high transaction costs in illiquid and highly volatile cryptocurrencies reduce active traders’ willingness to engage in arbitrage trading, leading to increased market inefficiencies. Our findings are relevant to investors, aiding in improving their decision-making processes and enhancing their investment efficiency. Our paper also presents significant implications for policymakers, emphasizing the need for reforms aimed at enhancing the speed at which information is incorporated into cryptocurrency returns. These reforms would help mitigate market distortions and increase the sustainability of cryptocurrency markets.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
FinTech, Crowdfunding, Digital Finance
Original source
May 7, 2024·Economics Letters
2 cites
Intricacy of cryptocurrency returns

Maximilian Nagl

This paper quantifies the intricacy, i.e., non-linearity and interactions of predictor variables, in explaining cryptocurrency returns. Using data from several thousand cryptocurrencies spanning 2014 to 2022, we observe a notably high level of intricacy. This provides a quantitative measure why linear models are often outperformed by machine learning algorithms in predicting cryptocurrency returns. Furthermore, we document that the intricacy in these predictions is considerably larger compared to stocks. Our analysis reveals that interactions are gaining importance over time, while individual non-linearity of the drivers is diminishing. This adds to the emerging literature on spillover effects between cryptocurrencies, traditional finance and the economy. This finding is important for investors as well as regulators as the high intricacy proposes challenges to both actors in the market.

Open access
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
May 1, 2024·International Journal of Information Management Data Insights
7 cites
Cryptocurrency trading: A systematic mapping study

Duy Thien An Nguyen, Ka Ching Chan

• This systematic mapping examines the current state of cryptocurrency trading research. • This study observes a recent increase in high-quality research and international collaboration in cryptocurrency trading. • This study notes a shift towards practical applications in cryptocurrency trading research, particularly in AI-driven prediction and automated trading. • This study highlights the diverse data types and inputs employed in cryptocurrency trading systems, with emphasis on the prevalent use of neural networks and deep learning algorithms. Cryptocurrency's unique features – decentralisation, anonymity, and diversification – have propelled it into the spotlight, attracting both investors and researchers despite its relative youth compared to traditional markets. This study utilizes a systematic mapping approach to examine the current state of cryptocurrency trading research. We are particularly interested in influential variables and technologies involved in cryptocurrency trading systems. By summarizing key findings on data, technology compatibility, and future research directions, this study serves as a starting point for new research activities in the field of cryptocurrency trading.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Apr 30, 2024·Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu dergisi
0 cites
Bitcoin ve Ethereum Piyasasında Takvim Anomalilerinin İncelenmesi

Arzu Özmerdivanlı

Modern finans teorisinin köşe taşlarından biri olan Etkin Piyasa Hipotezi, piyasada mevcut olan tüm bilginin kullanılması suretiyle piyasanın üzerinde getiri elde edilemeyeceğini öne sürmektedir. Bununla birlikte finansal piyasalarda yapılan çalışmaların birçoğu, yatırımcıların bazı dönemlerde normalin üzerinde getiri elde ettiğini gösteren bulgular ortaya koymaktadır. Etkin Piyasa Hipotezi ile çelişen ve bazı dönemlerde elde edilen getirilerin ve katlanılan riskin diğer dönemlere göre farklılaştığını ifade eden etkiler takvim anomalileri olarak tanımlanmaktadır. Takvim anomalileri içerisinde genellikle günlere, aylara ve yıllara göre farklılaşan etkiler incelenmektedir. Bu çalışmada Bitcoin ve Ethereum kripto para piyasasında takvim anomalilerinin incelenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Bu kapsamda haftanın günü, yılın ayı ve yıl dönümü anomalileri kukla değişken ile temsil edilerek Bitcoin ve Ethereum için belirlenen TGARCH(1,1) ve EGARCH(2,2) modeline ilave edilmiş ve Bitcoin için 18.07.2010 – 17.05.2023 dönemini, Ethereum için 10.03.2016 – 17.05.2023 dönemini kapsayan günlük veriler üzerinden analiz yapılmıştır. Çalışma sonucunda elde edilen bulgular, Bitcoin ve Ethereum piyasasında haftanın günü ve yılın ayı anomalilerinin bulunduğunu göstermektedir.

Open access
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
Apr 29, 2024·Mathematics
5 cites
Optimizing Cryptocurrency Returns: A Quantitative Study on Factor-Based Investing

Phumudzo Lloyd Seabe, Claude Rodrigue Bambe Moutsinga, Edson Pindza

This study explores cryptocurrency investment strategies by adapting the robust framework of factor investing, traditionally applied in equity markets, to the distinctive landscape of cryptocurrency assets. It conducts an in-depth examination of 31 prominent cryptocurrencies from December 2017 to December 2023, employing the Fama–MacBeth regression method and portfolio regressions to assess the predictive capabilities of market, size, value, and momentum factors, adjusted for the unique characteristics of the cryptocurrency market. These characteristics include high volatility and continuous trading, which differ markedly from those of traditional financial markets. To address the challenges posed by the perpetual operation of cryptocurrency trading, this study introduces an innovative rebalancing strategy that involves weekly adjustments to accommodate the market’s constant fluctuations. Additionally, to mitigate issues like autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity in financial time series data, this research applies the Newey–West standard error approach, enhancing the robustness of regression analyses. The empirical results highlight the significant predictive power of momentum and value factors in forecasting cryptocurrency returns, underscoring the importance of tailoring conventional investment frameworks to the cryptocurrency context. This study not only investigates the applicability of factor investing in the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market, but also enriches the financial literature by demonstrating the effectiveness of combining Fama–MacBeth cross-sectional analysis with portfolio regressions, supported by Newey–West standard errors, in mastering the complexities of digital asset investments.

Open access
2 source records
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Original source
Apr 25, 2024·Journal of risk and financial management
1 cites
DAO Dynamics: Treasury and Market Cap Interaction

Ioannis Karakostas, Konstantinos Pantelidis

This study examines the dynamics between treasury and market capitalization in two Decentralized Autonomous Organization (DAO) projects: OlympusDAO and KlimaDAO. This research examines the relationship between market capitalization and treasuries in these projects using vector autoregression (VAR), Granger causality, and Vector Error Correction models (VECM), incorporating an exogenous variable to account for the comovement of decentralized finance assets. Additionally, a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model is employed to assess the impact of carbon offset tokens on KlimaDAO’s market capitalization returns’ conditional variance. The findings suggest a connection between market capitalization and treasuries in the analyzed projects, underscoring the importance of the treasury and carbon offset tokens in impacting a DAO’s market capitalization and variance. Additionally, the results suggest significant implications for predictive modeling, highlighting the distinct behaviors observed in OlympusDAO and KlimaDAO. Investors and policymakers can leverage these results to refine investment strategies and adjust treasury allocation strategies to align with market trends. Furthermore, this study addresses the importance of responsible investing, advocating for including sustainable investment assets alongside a foundational framework for informed investment decisions and future studies in the field, offering novel insights into decentralized finance dynamics and tokenized assets’ role within the crypto-asset ecosystem.

Open access
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Original source
Apr 19, 2024·Moscow Economic Journal
0 cites
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF CRYPTOCURRENCY DEMO TRADING PLATFORMS

Alexey Rusakov, Alexander Shchapov, Nikita Grishin

This research paper is a comparative analysis of platforms for demo cryptocurrency trading. The main goal of the study is to evaluate the functionality of cryptocurrency demo trading platforms in terms of their ease of use, privacy, and flexibility in configuration. Additionally, this paper analyzes the effectiveness of each platform for teaching cryptocurrency trading and the similarity of demo trades to real trades, which undoubtedly is a crucial criterion in choosing a platform. The research methodology used in the study involves reviewing the official website of each service, as well as collecting and analyzing user feedback. Moreover, it includes a description of personal experience with the platforms. As a result, the following conclusions can be drawn: platforms for cryptocurrency trading vary, and it is necessary to choose a particular platform based on the goals of its use. Each platform has significant differences in interface and potential for use in educational purposes. The findings will be useful for both novice and experienced traders, as well as for the creation of educational courses on the subject. Furthermore, the description of pros and cons will assist in the creation of new similar platforms and the improvement of existing ones.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source
Apr 11, 2024·International Journal of Advanced Research in Science Communication and Technology
1 cites
Cryptocurrency Adoption and Financial Innovation

Shreyansh Verma, Ruchi Atri

The advent of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology has sparked a revolutionary Shift in the financial sector. This study sets out on a wide-ranging investigation to understand the nuanced dynamics, repercussions, and potential future paths of this shifting environment in the UK and USA. The primary goals of the research are to examine how cryptocurrencies affect financial markets and conventional banking systems; to examine how blockchain technology might be used in the financial sector; to assess policy and regulatory considerations; and to predict and plan for the future. This research digs into how cryptocurrencies have revolutionized the banking and finance sectors. Analysis of adoption rates, market volatility, and integration methods sheds light on the changing position of cryptocurrencies in investment portfolios, reconfiguration of asset classes, and coping mechanisms of conventional financial institutions. When looking at the financial sector as a whole, the transformational potential of blockchain technology becomes clear. The advent of DeFi, smart contracts, and asset tokenization offers new prospects to improve financial transactions, increase transparency, and broaden participation in the investment market. The research analyzes cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology from a policy and regulatory perspective. The delicate balancing act between stimulating innovation and guaranteeing consumer protection, market integrity, and financial stability is highlighted by a comparison of the regulatory methods adopted in the United Kingdom and United States, as well as proposals from international organizations. The research identifies potential future paths for these technologies and their implications. Opportunities and challenges that will influence the future of finance emerge, with a focus on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), sustainable blockchain solutions, and interdisciplinary collaborations. As this deep dive comes to a close, the transformational power of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology is highlighted. It sheds light on the forces that are altering the structures of the world’s financial markets, conventional banking structures, and regulatory frameworks. The findings and critical assessment stress the need for well-considered choices, ethical innovation, and interdisciplinary cooperation in order to succeed in an ever-changing environment. To further democratize access, improve transparency, and reshape the economic fabric of our planet, the future of finance resides at the confluence of tradition and innovation, where cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology exist. Cryptocurrency adoption has catalyzed changes in consumer behavior and investment patterns. While some view digital currencies as speculative assets, others embrace them as alternative forms of money and store of value. This diversity of perspectives underscores the need for a nuanced understanding of cryptocurrency adoption and its implications for financial systems. The significance of this study lies in its contribution to our understanding of the evolving relationship between cryptocurrency adoption and financial innovation. By elucidating the drivers, challenges, and implications of this phenomenon, policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers can make informed decisions to harness the transformative potential of digital currencies while mitigating associated risks. Cryptocurrency adoption and the financial innovations it has spurred are transforming the way we think about money and financial services. While challenges remain, the potential benefits of a more decentralized, efficient, and inclusive financial system are significant. As the technology matures, regulatory frameworks adapt, and user confidence grows, cryptocurrency adoption is likely tocontinue its upward trajectory. Cryptocurrency adoption and its associated financial innovations have the potential to usher in a paradigm shift in the way we manage and exchange value.

Open access
Blockchain Technology Applications and Security
FinTech, Crowdfunding, Digital Finance
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Original source