Twenty‐year birth prevalence of Down syndrome in Cape Town, South Africa

Abstract

The 20‐year birth prevalence of Down syndrome in Cape Town, South Africa, was determined. All cases delivered to mothers in Cape Town, plus terminations following prenatal diagnosis, between 1 January 1974 and 31 December 1993 were ascertained. There were 784 Down syndrome pregnancies, of which 95% were trisomies. The 32 terminations comprised 18.3% of the white, 5.8% of the coloured (mixed race) and 1.4% of the black cases. The overall prevalence rate was 1.49 per 1000 (white 1.88, coloured 1.54 and black 1.29 per 1000). Analysis for linear trends showed a significant decline in rates for the total population and for whites, a downward trend for coloureds, but no decline for blacks. Over the last 5‐year period the prevalence rates in all three population groups were 1.3 per 1000. An increasing risk with advancing maternal age was confirmed, but no maternal age‐specific differences in rates by race were demonstrated.