Bitcoin: Price Formation, Economic Impact, and Volatility Dynamics

Abstract

Abstract This research paper provides a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin, the world’s preeminent cryptocurrency, focusing on the economic drivers of its price formation, its broader impact on the economy, and the evolving dynamics of its volatility. Drawing on high-frequency econometric modeling, time-series analysis, and network-based prediction methods, the paper synthesizes insights from leading empirical studies to elucidate the factors shaping Bitcoin’s price, including supply-demand fundamentals, investor behavior, macro-financial indicators, transaction network structure, and the influence of derivative markets. Additionally, it explores Bitcoin’s adoption in key industries, its intrinsic and extrinsic value determinants, and the implications of its volatility for financial stability. The study concludes by reflecting on the future trajectory of Bitcoin as it transitions from speculative asset to potential mainstream medium of exchange, considering regulatory, technological, and market challenges. Keywords: Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, price formation, volatility, supply-demand, GARCH, partial differential equations, transaction networks, futures markets, economic impact