Usability of Bitcoin as Currency in Türkiye: Fourier Shin Approach

Abstract

This paper seeks to assess the feasibility of utilizing Bitcoin as a currency within Türkiye. To achieve this, the research analyzes long-term cointegration relationships between Bitcoin and both the US Dollar and Euro, employing monthly data from November 2017 to February 2025 and utilizing the Fourier Shin cointegration test. The results of the cointegration tests, bolstered by Fourier series analysis, reveal significant long-term cointegration relationships between Bitcoin and both the USD and Euro. The DOLS analysis indicates that a 1% rise in Bitcoin leads to a 14% decrease in the USD price and a 17% increase in the Euro. These results imply that Bitcoin exhibits a high sensitivity to ex-change rates, positioning it as a speculative investment in the short term. The pronounced inverse correlation between the US Dollar and Bitcoin raises the possibility of Bitcoin serving as a substitute for the US Dollar.