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January 1, 2026· SSRN Electronic Journal
preprint
Open access

Modeling the Risks Within the Protocol Aave, With an Application to Portfolio Allocation

Authors:Emmanuel Gobet *Louis Latournerie

Abstract

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) lending and borrowing protocols enable investors to take leveraged long and short positions on digital assets without centralized intermediaries, but expose them to a distinctive form of risk: on-chain liquidation triggered by debt and collateral value fluctuations. In this work, we provide a detailed formalization of Aave's lending, borrowing, and liquidation mechanisms, grounded in the protocol's open-source implementation. In doing so, we propose a mathematical modeling of the risk of liquidation, including some stochastic approximations with the purpose of efficient analysis, with different applications. Among them, portfolio optimization problem.

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