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January 1, 2024· SSRN Electronic Journal
preprint
Open access

Ethereum Price Prediction Model Comparison Using HMM Models, HMM Pretrained and Custom Model Deep Reinforcement Learning and LSTM

Authors:Nour Ben Aouicha *Sarra Ayed

Abstract

In this research, we analyzed three different models for Ethereum price prediction: a custom Hidden Markov Models (HMM), GHMM Pretrained, Deep Reinforcement Learning and LSTM. Our results demonstrate the distinct strengths and weaknesses of every model. Although HMM and HMM Pretrained excel in capturing volatility and short-term price fluctuations, the custom model demonstrates remarkable predictive capabilities for long-term trends. The present study provides significant contributions to the field of cryptocurrency price prediction, hence assisting traders, investors, and scholars in maneuvering through the complex Ethereum market.

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