Trust Dynamics and Bot-Driven Responses: An Approach to Rug Pulls in Solana Meme Coin Markets

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamics of trust and bot-driven responses within the meme coin ecosystem on the Solana blockchain, with a particular emphasis on the interplay between social media-induced sentiment and on-chain transaction behaviors.Meme coins, which originate from internet culture and are heavily influenced by community sentiment, represent a volatile and distinct category of cryptocurrencies.Employing sentiment propagation networks, on-chain transaction data, and sentiment-transaction integrated models, we quantitatively analyze the relationship between emotional fluctuations and market behaviors.By contrasting Rug Pull scams with sustainable projects, we identify critical differences in the role of sentiment across different phases of project development.Our findings reveal three distinct sentiment-driven user trading behaviors: sentiment followers, makers, and stabilizers.The results indicate that, while sentiment is a primary driver of early-stage trading within Rug Pull projects, its influence diminishes as community distrust intensifies, resulting in more opportunistic and reactive trading patterns.This study contributes to the understanding of the co-evolution of memes, sentiment, and market dynamics, offering new insights into the complexities of decentralized finance ecosystems, with a specific focus on Solana-based meme coin markets.