Beyond Cash Flows: A Multi-Layer Valuation Framework for Ethereum

Abstract

Prior research on cryptoasset valuation has largely adapted discounted cash flow (DCF) models by treating staking rewards and transaction fees as productive cash flows, while insufficiently accounting for monetary characteristics and strategic flexibility inherent to decentralized platforms. This study investigates whether such cashflow based approaches systematically undervalue Ethereum. The central hypothesis is that Ethereum’s intrinsic value cannot be adequately explained by DCF valuation alone, and that monetary premium and technological optionality constitute economically significant components of value. To examine this hypothesis, a multi-layer valuation framework is applied using network and market data from 2022–2025, combining a DCF model, a monetary premium benchmarked against gold based on relative scarcity and adoption, and a real option uplift reflecting future expansion potential. Monte Carlo simulation is employed to test the robustness of the results. The findings indicate that while DCF-based valuations remain relatively stable, total intrinsic value is highly sensitive to assumptions regarding monetary adoption and strategic optionality. These results underline the importance of layered valuation frameworks for decentralized platforms.