Forecasting Bitcoin Price Trends: Integrated Machine Learning with Market Trends

Abstract

Bitcoin price prediction remains a complicated task in financial markets since price fluctuations are characterized by high variability, non-linear and dependent on different trends. The common models of forecasting can be disruptive because they do not readily accommodate the breadth of the data and the dynamics of the marketplace. The paper presents a new approach to predicting Bitcoin price shifts based on state-of-the-art data structures and both machine learning and technical analysis. The formative historical price datasets and large scale features are organized and manipulated in an efficient manner with the aid of data structures as well as the temporal and non-linear trends in prices are captured by ARIMA, Exponential smoothing and Random. Also, trends of moving averages are used to boost the model's competency to analyze the sentiments of the market. The proposed framework was put through a test on real world Bitcoin price data and it was shown to provide better results as compared to the traditional methods with better accuracy and visualization. Besides that, our method enhances the accuracy of the forecast, while the deployment of the method allows developing a realtime Bitcoin price prediction model that can be useful for traders and investors. The integration of machine learning and technical analysis gives a powerful and reliable tool to forecast the Bitcoins price trends.